Football · Norway Eliteserien · 18/10, 19:15

Prediction: Tromso vs KFUM

Team pages: Tromso · KFUM

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Tromso2.05
KFUM0.81
1X2
66% 21% 13%
Tromso Draw KFUM
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Tromso 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWWWLDLLWD
KFUM 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LLWWDLLWWW
Head-to-head
Tromso 3–1–2 KFUM (6 last)
  • KFUM0-0Tromso
  • KFUM2-1Tromso
  • Tromso2-0KFUM
  • KFUM1-3Tromso
  • Tromso0-1KFUM
  • KFUM0-1Tromso
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tromso 1520 · KFUM 1553
TromsoDrawKFUM
Our model65%22%13%
Market66%21%13%
Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Tromso: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TromsoKFUM
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.61.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.81.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.51.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.13.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tromso 3–1–2 KFUM

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/05/26
Norway Eliteserien
KFUM0-0
HT 0-0
Tromso
07/03/26
Norway Cup
KFUM2-1
HT 1-1
Tromso
31/08/25
Norway Eliteserien
Tromso2-0
HT 1-0
KFUM
11/05/25
Norway Eliteserien
KFUM1-3
HT 1-1
Tromso
08/05/25
Norway Cup
Tromso0-1
HT 0-1
KFUM
18/08/24
Norway Eliteserien
KFUM0-1
HT 0-0
Tromso

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bodo/Glimt 231823 582056
2 Viking FK 231823 592256
3 Tromso 221165 413039
4 Molde 221147 463437
5 Rosenborg 221048 403134
6 Lillestrom 221039 303133
7 SK Brann 229211 393429
8 Fredrikstad 238510 283629
9 Sarpsborg 22778 283128
10 KFUM 228410 273628
11 Ham-Kam 237511 334826
12 Sandefjord 226610 222824
13 Aalesund 23599 395124
14 Valerenga 226511 354523
15 Kristiansund BK 235414 234719
16 IK Start 224414 244816

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTromsoKFUM
Kristiansund BK 0-2 L 2-1 W
Sarpsborg 0-0 D 3-1 W
Molde 2-3 L 0-2 L
Aalesund 6-2 W 2-1 W
Valerenga 4-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tromso (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tromso

DWWWLDLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-1 26 D
20/09 Ham-Kam
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 3-2 71 W
12/09 Rosenborg
Norway Eliteserien
0-4 3-5 45 L
06/09 Kristiansund BK
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-2 74 L
30/08 Sarpsborg
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 0-0 53 D
16/08 Molde
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 2-3 25 L
02/08 Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 6-2 41 W
18/07 Ham-Kam
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 4-1 50 W
11/07 Valerenga
Norway Eliteserien
3-0 4-0 42 W
29/05 KFUM
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 0-0 52 D

KFUM

LLWWDLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/10 Valerenga
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 2-1 72 W
18/09 Sarpsborg
Norway Eliteserien
2-1 3-1 13 W
13/09 Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
2-1 2-1 66 W
06/09 Molde
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-2 22 L
30/08 IK Start
Norway Eliteserien
1-2 1-4 78 L
15/08 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 1-1 34 D
07/08 Sandefjord
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-0 66 W
02/08 Kristiansund BK
Norway Eliteserien
2-0 2-1 31 W
26/07 Molde
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 2-4 36 L
18/07 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 1-2 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tromso vs KFUM?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tromso win (66%). Probabilities: Tromso 66%, draw 21%, KFUM 13%.

How many goals are expected in Tromso vs KFUM?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Tromso 2.05 · KFUM 0.81), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tromso vs KFUM?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.