Football · Norway Eliteserien · 17/10, 18:00
Prediction: Viking FK vs Fredrikstad
Team pages: Viking FK · Fredrikstad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Viking FK1.94
Fredrikstad0.96
1X2
Viking FK
Draw
Fredrikstad
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Viking FK
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Fredrikstad
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Viking FK
4–1–1
Fredrikstad
(6 last)
- Fredrikstad1-2Viking FK
- Fredrikstad0-1Viking FK
- Viking FK3-0Fredrikstad
- Viking FK2-0Fredrikstad
- Fredrikstad3-2Viking FK
- Viking FK1-1Fredrikstad
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viking FK (rating 1622 vs 1531).
- H2H favours Viking FK: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Viking FK | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.5 / 7.8 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Viking FK 4–1–1 Fredrikstad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Norway Eliteserien | Fredrikstad | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Viking FK |
| 23/11/25 Norway Eliteserien | Fredrikstad | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Viking FK |
| 22/06/25 Norway Eliteserien | Viking FK | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Fredrikstad |
| 01/03/25 Europe Friendlies | Viking FK | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Fredrikstad |
| 22/09/24 Norway Eliteserien | Fredrikstad | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Viking FK |
| 21/04/24 Norway Eliteserien | Viking FK | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Fredrikstad |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking FK | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 38 |
| 4 | Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 36 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 32 |
| 7 | SK Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 28 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 25 |
| 10 | KFUM | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 35 | 25 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 43 | 23 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 44 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 43 | 19 |
| 16 | IK Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Viking FK | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| Lillestrom | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Kristiansund BK | 8-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Sandefjord | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Rosenborg | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Sarpsborg | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| IK Start | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Viking FK (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viking FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
5-1 | 8-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 04/09 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 22/07 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
Fredrikstad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 04/09 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/07 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viking FK vs Fredrikstad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Viking FK win (59%). Probabilities: Viking FK 59%, draw 24%, Fredrikstad 17%.
How many goals are expected in Viking FK vs Fredrikstad?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Viking FK 1.94 · Fredrikstad 0.96), with a 59% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Viking FK vs Fredrikstad?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.