Football · Norway Eliteserien · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: IK Start vs Ham-Kam

Team pages: IK Start · Ham-Kam

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

IK Start1.75

Ham-Kam1.25

1X2

48% 26% 26%

IK Start Draw Ham-Kam

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Start 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Ham-Kam 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLDLLL

Head-to-head

IK Start 2–4 Ham-Kam (6 last)

Ham-Kam2-1IK Start
Ham-Kam1-2IK Start
Ham-Kam3-2IK Start
IK Start1-4Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam4-0IK Start
IK Start4-1Ham-Kam

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Start 1477 · Ham-Kam 1482

	IK Start	Draw	Ham-Kam
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	48%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ham-Kam: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Start	Ham-Kam
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	1 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.2	2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.87 ★
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:58 +2’	1.91	3.60	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:14 +46’	1.91	3.87	3.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Start 2–0–4 Ham-Kam

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Norway Eliteserien	Ham-Kam	2-1 HT 0-0	IK Start
20/02/23 Europe Friendlies	Ham-Kam	1-2 HT 0-2	IK Start
29/08/21 Norway Division 1	Ham-Kam	3-2 HT 2-1	IK Start
05/07/21 Norway Division 1	IK Start	1-4 HT 0-1	Ham-Kam
22/09/19 Norway Division 1	Ham-Kam	4-0 HT 2-0	IK Start
21/07/19 Norway Division 1	IK Start	4-1 HT 3-0	Ham-Kam

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Viking FK	21	16	2	3	54	20	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	53	19	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	40	29	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	44	32	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	39	30	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	28	29	32
7	SK Brann	21	9	2	10	39	32	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	25	32	28
9	Sarpsborg	21	6	7	8	24	29	25
10	KFUM	21	7	4	10	25	35	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	21	27	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	34	43	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	6	5	10	29	44	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	33	46	21
15	Kristiansund BK	21	5	4	12	21	40	19
16	IK Start	21	4	4	13	22	44	16

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Start	Ham-Kam
SK Brann	2-0 W	0-3 L
Aalesund	0-2 L	1-1 D
Kristiansund BK	2-1 W	2-2 D
Rosenborg	0-3 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IK Start (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Start

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-3	4	5	L
13/09	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
04/09	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-2	6	3	L
30/08	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	2-1	4-1	6	8	W
08/08	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	6	0	L
01/08	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
25/07	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
18/07	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
12/07	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
29/05	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-2	1	5	L

Ham-Kam

LLLWDLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-3	1	1	L
13/09	Molde Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-5	6	1	L
05/09	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
30/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	0-0	2-2	9	3	D
16/08	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
09/08	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
31/07	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
26/07	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
22/07	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
18/07	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-4	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Start vs Ham-Kam?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Start win (48%). Probabilities: IK Start 48%, draw 26%, Ham-Kam 26%.

How many goals are expected in IK Start vs Ham-Kam?

The model expects 2.99 goals (IK Start 1.75 · Ham-Kam 1.25), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Start vs Ham-Kam?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.