Football · Norway Eliteserien · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg

Team pages: Fredrikstad · Rosenborg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Fredrikstad1.44

Rosenborg1.76

1X2

30% 25% 44%

Fredrikstad Draw Rosenborg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Fredrikstad 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDDDLL

Rosenborg 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWDWW

Head-to-head

Fredrikstad 1–2–3 Rosenborg (6 last)

Rosenborg4-0Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad0-2Rosenborg
Rosenborg1-0Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad2-2Rosenborg
Rosenborg1-1Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad1-0Rosenborg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosenborg (rating 1523 vs 1627).
H2H favours Rosenborg: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fredrikstad	Rosenborg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	2.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.7	4.1 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 23:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.88 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.00
X	3.76 → 3.83▲	Pinn 3.83
2	1.87 → 1.85▼	Pinn 1.85

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:28 +11’	3.88	3.76	1.87
20:30 +48’	3.92▲	3.80▲	1.88▲
22:48 +26’	4.00▲	3.83▲	1.85▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fredrikstad 1–2–3 Rosenborg

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	4-0 HT 2-0	Fredrikstad
28/05/25 Norway Eliteserien	Fredrikstad	0-2 HT 0-1	Rosenborg
05/04/25 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	1-0 HT 1-0	Fredrikstad
27/07/24 Norway Eliteserien	Fredrikstad	2-2 HT 2-1	Rosenborg
02/06/24 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	1-1 HT 0-0	Fredrikstad
01/05/24 Norway Cup	Fredrikstad	1-0 HT 0-0	Rosenborg

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Viking FK	24	19	2	3	62	23	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	18	2	4	58	21	56
3	Molde	23	12	4	7	52	35	40
4	Rosenborg	24	12	4	8	46	31	40
5	Tromso	24	11	7	6	43	34	40
6	Lillestrom	24	12	3	9	35	33	39
7	Sarpsborg	24	8	7	9	30	35	31
8	KFUM	24	8	6	10	30	39	30
9	SK Brann	24	9	2	13	42	40	29
10	Valerenga	24	8	5	11	39	46	29
11	Fredrikstad	23	8	5	10	28	36	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	7	5	12	33	51	26
13	Sandefjord	24	6	6	12	22	31	24
14	Aalesund	24	5	9	10	40	53	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	5	5	14	25	49	20
16	IK Start	24	5	4	15	26	54	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fredrikstad	Rosenborg
Viking FK	2-3 L	2-1 W
Tromso	1-1 D	5-3 W
Sarpsborg	1-1 D	3-0 W
Bodo/Glimt	1-2 L	2-4 L
Lillestrom	4-1 W	2-0 W
Kristiansund BK	1-0 W	3-1 W
Sandefjord	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Rosenborg (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fredrikstad

WWWWLDDDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Molde Norway Eliteserien	1-3	1-5	9	3	L
17/10	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	2-1	2-3	0	5	L
11/10	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
20/09	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
13/09	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
04/09	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
30/08	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	2-1	4-1	3	3	W
16/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
08/08	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	4	0	W
01/08	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	6	1	W

Rosenborg

LWWLWWWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	0-0	3-0	7	5	W
18/10	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	2-0	3-0	8	5	W
10/10	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-1	7	6	D
19/09	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
12/09	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	4-0	5-3	4	5	W
05/09	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
30/08	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-4	2	2	L
14/08	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	9	0	W
09/08	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
02/08	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-1	2-3	12	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rosenborg win (44%). Probabilities: Fredrikstad 30%, draw 25%, Rosenborg 44%.

How many goals are expected in Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Fredrikstad 1.44 · Rosenborg 1.76), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.