Football · Norway Eliteserien · 08/11, 17:00
Prediction: Viking FK vs KFUM
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Viking FK2.65
KFUM0.85
1X2
Viking FK
Draw
KFUM
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Viking FK
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
KFUM
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Viking FK
4–1–1
KFUM
(6 last)
- KFUM0-2Viking FK
- KFUM2-2Viking FK
- Viking FK3-1KFUM
- Viking FK1-0KFUM
- KFUM1-2Viking FK
- Viking FK1-2KFUM
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viking FK 1589 · KFUM 1540
| Viking FK | Draw | KFUM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| Market | 76% | 13% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viking FK (rating 1589 vs 1540).
- H2H favours Viking FK: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Viking FK | KFUM | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 6.7 | 1.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Viking FK 4–1–1 KFUM
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Norway Eliteserien | KFUM | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Viking FK |
| 14/09/25 Norway Eliteserien | KFUM | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Viking FK |
| 06/04/25 Norway Eliteserien | Viking FK | 3-1 HT 1-1 | KFUM |
| 14/09/24 Norway Eliteserien | Viking FK | 1-0 HT 1-0 | KFUM |
| 07/07/24 Norway Eliteserien | KFUM | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Viking FK |
| 16/02/24 Europe Friendlies | Viking FK | 1-2 HT 0-1 | KFUM |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking FK | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 64 | 26 | 59 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 61 | 23 | 59 |
| 3 | Rosenborg | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 53 | 32 | 46 |
| 4 | Molde | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 39 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 42 |
| 6 | Tromso | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 40 |
| 7 | SK Brann | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 42 | 32 |
| 8 | Valerenga | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 46 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
| 10 | KFUM | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 41 | 31 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 44 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 34 | 27 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 53 | 27 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 57 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 51 | 23 |
| 16 | IK Start | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 59 | 19 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Viking FK | KFUM |
|---|---|---|
| Tromso | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Lillestrom | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Kristiansund BK | 8-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Sandefjord | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Aalesund | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Sarpsborg | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Viking FK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viking FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
5-1 | 8-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 04/09 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
KFUM
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/10 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 12/10 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 15/08 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viking FK vs KFUM?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Viking FK win (76%). Probabilities: Viking FK 76%, draw 15%, KFUM 10%.
How many goals are expected in Viking FK vs KFUM?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Viking FK 2.65 · KFUM 0.85), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Viking FK vs KFUM?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.