Football · Norway Eliteserien · 12/07, 17:00

Prediction: Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK

Expected goals: 2.65 (Rosenborg 1.75 · Kristiansund BK 0.9). The model gives 57% home, 24% draw, 19% away. Under 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Rosenborg is 3-3-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Kristiansund BK 3-2-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Rosenborg won 3 and Kristiansund BK 1, with 2 draws.

57%1
57% 24% 19%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rosenborg 1485 · Kristiansund BK 1470
RosenborgDrawKristiansund BK
Our model56%26%18%
Market57%23%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.65Rosenborg 1.75 · Kristiansund BK 0.9
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 52%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Rosenborg: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RosenborgKristiansund BK
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.51 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.90.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.62 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 03.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosenborg 321 Kristiansund BK

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/06/25
Norway Eliteserien
Kristiansund BK4-1
HT 3-1
Rosenborg
01/05/25
Norway Eliteserien
Rosenborg1-1
HT 0-0
Kristiansund BK
01/12/24
Norway Eliteserien
Kristiansund BK0-4
HT 0-1
Rosenborg
26/05/24
Norway Eliteserien
Rosenborg2-1
HT 0-1
Kristiansund BK
14/03/24
Europe Friendlies
Rosenborg2-2
HT 1-0
Kristiansund BK
25/02/23
Europe Friendlies
Rosenborg3-2
HT 1-2
Kristiansund BK

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Viking FK 10901 291027
2 Tromso 13742 181425
3 Bodo/Glimt 11722 281123
4 Lillestrom 11614 171119
5 Molde 11614 181319
6 Ham-Kam 10523 171617
7 Sarpsborg 11425 131614
8 Sandefjord 11425 101314
9 Valerenga 11425 131714
10 Fredrikstad 11425 152014
11 SK Brann 12417 242013
12 KFUM 11335 121712
13 Aalesund 11254 152011
14 Kristiansund BK 11326 111811
15 Rosenborg 11236 9189
16 IK Start 12147 13287

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRosenborgKristiansund BK
Molde 2-1 W 0-1 L
Aalesund 2-3 L 0-3 L
Lillestrom 2-0 W 2-1 W
Viking FK 0-3 L 1-2 L
SK Brann 1-1 D 2-1 W
Sandefjord 0-0 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Rosenborg (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rosenborg

LWDDLWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Molde
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-1 48 W
29/05 Bodo/Glimt
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 2-2 03 D
25/05 KFUM
Norway Eliteserien
0-2 0-2 22 L
16/05 Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 2-3 118 L
10/05 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
2-0 2-0 14 W
01/05 Viking FK
Norway Eliteserien
0-2 0-3 35 L
25/04 SK Brann
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 1-1 74 D
18/04 Sandefjord
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 0-0 114 D
12/04 Sarpsborg
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 2-1 74 W
06/04 Tromso
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-2 03 L

Kristiansund BK

WDDLLWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 SK Brann
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-1 41 W
27/06 Aalesund
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-3 61 L
29/05 Valerenga
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 1-3 62 L
24/05 Viking FK
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 1-2 46 L
20/05 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 2-1 311 W
16/05 Molde
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-1 63 L
10/05 Sandefjord
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-2 43 L
03/05 Ham-Kam
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 1-1 44 D
26/04 Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 1-1 85 D
19/04 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 2-0 42 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosenborg win (57%). Probabilities: Rosenborg 57%, draw 24%, Kristiansund BK 19%.

How many goals are expected in Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Rosenborg 1.75 · Kristiansund BK 0.9), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.