Football · Norway Eliteserien · 13/09, 17:00
Prediction: KFUM vs Aalesund
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
KFUM1.73
Aalesund1.68
1X2
KFUM
Draw
Aalesund
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
KFUM
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Aalesund
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KFUM
0–1–4
Aalesund
(5 last)
- Aalesund2-2KFUM
- KFUM2-4Aalesund
- Aalesund1-0KFUM
- Aalesund2-1KFUM
- KFUM2-4Aalesund
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aalesund (rating 1470 vs 1517).
- H2H favours Aalesund: 4-1-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KFUM | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.4 | 2.7 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KFUM 0–1–4 Aalesund
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Norway Eliteserien | Aalesund | 2-2 HT 1-1 | KFUM |
| 29/10/21 Norway Division 1 | KFUM | 2-4 HT 2-1 | Aalesund |
| 23/05/21 Norway Division 1 | Aalesund | 1-0 HT 0-0 | KFUM |
| 18/09/19 Norway Division 1 | Aalesund | 2-1 HT 1-1 | KFUM |
| 21/07/19 Norway Division 1 | KFUM | 2-4 HT 1-0 | Aalesund |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 47 |
| 2 | Viking FK | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Tromso | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 35 |
| 4 | Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 33 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 27 |
| 7 | SK Brann | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 29 | 26 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 26 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 23 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 22 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 20 |
| 13 | KFUM | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | 19 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | 18 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 16 |
| 16 | IK Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | 13 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KFUM | Aalesund |
|---|---|---|
| IK Start | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Molde | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Tromso | 0-0 D | 2-6 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Aalesund (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KFUM
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 15/08 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
Aalesund
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
4-2 | 5-5 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-6 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/07 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
0-3 | 1-6 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KFUM vs Aalesund?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KFUM win (39%). Probabilities: KFUM 39%, draw 25%, Aalesund 37%.
How many goals are expected in KFUM vs Aalesund?
The model expects 3.41 goals (KFUM 1.73 · Aalesund 1.68), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in KFUM vs Aalesund?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.