Football · Norway Eliteserien · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: Lillestrom vs Valerenga
Team pages: Lillestrom · Valerenga
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Lillestrom1.9
Valerenga1.56
1X2
Lillestrom
Draw
Valerenga
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Lillestrom
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Valerenga
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lillestrom
4–1–1
Valerenga
(6 last)
- Valerenga0-2Lillestrom
- Lillestrom2-0Valerenga
- Valerenga3-4Lillestrom
- Valerenga3-1Lillestrom
- Lillestrom2-0Valerenga
- Lillestrom0-0Valerenga
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lillestrom: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lillestrom | Valerenga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 2.4 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.5 | 2.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 2.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lillestrom 4–1–1 Valerenga
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Norway Eliteserien | Valerenga | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Lillestrom |
| 22/10/23 Norway Eliteserien | Lillestrom | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Valerenga |
| 01/05/23 Norway Eliteserien | Valerenga | 3-4 HT 3-1 | Lillestrom |
| 04/09/22 Norway Eliteserien | Valerenga | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Lillestrom |
| 25/05/22 Norway Eliteserien | Lillestrom | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Valerenga |
| 07/11/21 Norway Eliteserien | Lillestrom | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Valerenga |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 47 |
| 2 | Viking FK | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Tromso | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 35 |
| 4 | Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 33 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 27 |
| 7 | SK Brann | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 29 | 26 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 26 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 23 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 22 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 20 |
| 13 | KFUM | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | 19 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | 18 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 16 |
| 16 | IK Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lillestrom | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|
| SK Brann | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Bodo/Glimt | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Ham-Kam | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Kristiansund BK | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Valerenga (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lillestrom
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
1-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 31/07 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 11 | L |
Valerenga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
3-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
3-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
3-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lillestrom win (45%). Probabilities: Lillestrom 45%, draw 24%, Valerenga 31%.
How many goals are expected in Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Lillestrom 1.9 · Valerenga 1.56), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.