Football · Norway Eliteserien · 12/09, 18:00
Prediction: Rosenborg vs Tromso
Team pages: Rosenborg · Tromso
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Rosenborg1.7
Tromso1.38
1X2
Rosenborg
Draw
Tromso
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Rosenborg
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Tromso
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rosenborg
2–1–3
Tromso
(6 last)
- Tromso2-0Rosenborg
- Tromso1-0Rosenborg
- Rosenborg4-1Tromso
- Rosenborg1-1Tromso
- Rosenborg1-0Tromso
- Tromso3-2Rosenborg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tromso: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rosenborg | Tromso | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.2 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.8 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosenborg 2–1–3 Tromso
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Norway Eliteserien | Tromso | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Rosenborg |
| 22/11/25 Norway Eliteserien | Tromso | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rosenborg |
| 27/07/25 Norway Eliteserien | Rosenborg | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Tromso |
| 13/10/24 Europe Friendlies | Rosenborg | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Tromso |
| 04/08/24 Norway Eliteserien | Rosenborg | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tromso |
| 20/05/24 Norway Eliteserien | Tromso | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Rosenborg |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 47 |
| 2 | Viking FK | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Tromso | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 35 |
| 4 | Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 33 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 27 |
| 7 | SK Brann | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 29 | 26 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 26 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 23 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 22 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 20 |
| 13 | KFUM | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | 19 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | 18 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 16 |
| 16 | IK Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rosenborg | Tromso |
|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam | 4-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Bodo/Glimt | 2-4 L | 0-5 L |
| IK Start | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| KFUM | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Rosenborg (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rosenborg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 29/05 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 25/05 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Tromso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rosenborg vs Tromso?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosenborg win (44%). Probabilities: Rosenborg 44%, draw 26%, Tromso 30%.
How many goals are expected in Rosenborg vs Tromso?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Rosenborg 1.7 · Tromso 1.38), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rosenborg vs Tromso?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.