Football · Norway Eliteserien · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg

Team pages: Kristiansund BK · Rosenborg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

Kristiansund BK1.65

Rosenborg1.93

1X2

33% 24% 44%

Kristiansund BK Draw Rosenborg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kristiansund BK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLLWLDWL

Rosenborg 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWLWW

Head-to-head

Kristiansund BK 1–2–3 Rosenborg (6 last)

Rosenborg3-0Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK4-1Rosenborg
Rosenborg1-1Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK0-4Rosenborg
Rosenborg2-1Kristiansund BK
Rosenborg2-2Kristiansund BK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosenborg (rating 1477 vs 1574).
H2H favours Rosenborg: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kristiansund BK	Rosenborg
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	2.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	1.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.7	3.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.87

Under 31.97

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.70 → 4.88▲	Pinn 4.88
X	4.47 → 4.51▲	Pinn 4.51
2	1.63 → 1.60▼	Pinn 1.60

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:46 +69’	4.70	4.47	1.63
20:17 +20’	4.88▲	4.51▲	1.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristiansund BK 1–2–3 Rosenborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	3-0 HT 2-0	Kristiansund BK
22/06/25 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansund BK	4-1 HT 3-1	Rosenborg
01/05/25 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	1-1 HT 0-0	Kristiansund BK
01/12/24 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansund BK	0-4 HT 0-1	Rosenborg
26/05/24 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	2-1 HT 0-1	Kristiansund BK
14/03/24 Europe Friendlies	Rosenborg	2-2 HT 1-0	Kristiansund BK

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	15	2	2	49	15	47
2	Viking FK	19	14	2	3	43	19	44
3	Tromso	20	10	5	5	37	27	35
4	Molde	19	10	3	6	38	29	33
5	Lillestrom	20	10	2	8	28	26	32
6	Rosenborg	20	9	3	8	36	29	30
7	SK Brann	19	8	2	9	37	29	26
8	Fredrikstad	19	8	2	9	23	30	26
9	Sarpsborg	19	6	6	7	22	25	24
10	Ham-Kam	19	6	5	8	26	36	23
11	Valerenga	20	6	4	10	33	42	22
12	Sandefjord	19	5	5	9	16	24	20
13	Kristiansund BK	19	5	4	10	19	29	19
14	KFUM	19	5	4	10	20	33	19
15	Aalesund	19	3	9	7	30	43	18
16	IK Start	19	3	4	12	20	41	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kristiansund BK	Rosenborg
Viking FK	1-8 L	2-1 W
Tromso	2-0 W	5-3 W
Ham-Kam	2-2 D	4-0 W
Fredrikstad	0-1 L	4-0 W
IK Start	1-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Rosenborg (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kristiansund BK

LLDLLWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	1-5	1-8	5	1	L
06/09	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
30/08	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	0-0	2-2	4	3	D
16/08	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	10	4	L
09/08	Molde Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
02/08	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	3	1	L
25/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
18/07	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
12/07	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
29/05	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-3	6	2	L

Rosenborg

DWWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	4-0	5-3	4	5	W
05/09	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
30/08	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-4	2	2	L
14/08	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	9	0	W
09/08	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
02/08	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-1	2-3	12	5	L
27/07	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	2-0	4-0	10	1	W
18/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
12/07	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
29/05	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-2	0	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rosenborg win (44%). Probabilities: Kristiansund BK 33%, draw 24%, Rosenborg 44%.

How many goals are expected in Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg?

The model expects 3.58 goals (Kristiansund BK 1.65 · Rosenborg 1.93), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.