Football · Norway Eliteserien · 12/10, 19:00

Prediction: KFUM vs Valerenga

Team pages: KFUM · Valerenga

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
KFUM1.6
Valerenga1.77
1X2
34% 25% 41%
KFUM Draw Valerenga
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
KFUM 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWWDLLWW
Valerenga 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLLDLDLD
Head-to-head
KFUM 0–2–3 Valerenga (5 last)
  • Valerenga2-2KFUM
  • Valerenga1-0KFUM
  • Valerenga1-1KFUM
  • KFUM0-1Valerenga
  • KFUM0-2Valerenga
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KFUM 1526 · Valerenga 1505
KFUMDrawValerenga
Our model34%25%41%
Market34%25%41%
Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Valerenga: 3-2-0.
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KFUMValerenga
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.82.1 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.81.1 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.12.9 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.32.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · KFUM 0–2–3 Valerenga

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Norway Eliteserien
Valerenga2-2
HT 1-1
KFUM
21/02/26
Europe Friendlies
Valerenga1-0
HT 1-0
KFUM
20/09/25
Norway Eliteserien
Valerenga1-1
HT 0-0
KFUM
26/05/25
Norway Eliteserien
KFUM0-1
HT 0-0
Valerenga
04/05/16
Norway Cup
KFUM0-2
HT 0-0
Valerenga

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Viking FK 221723 562053
2 Bodo/Glimt 221723 562053
3 Tromso 211155 402938
4 Molde 211137 443236
5 Rosenborg 221048 403134
6 Lillestrom 211029 282932
7 SK Brann 229211 393429
8 Fredrikstad 21849 253228
9 Sarpsborg 21678 242925
10 KFUM 217410 253525
11 Sandefjord 226610 222824
12 Valerenga 216510 344323
13 Ham-Kam 216510 294423
14 Aalesund 21498 334621
15 Kristiansund BK 225413 224319
16 IK Start 214413 224416

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKFUMValerenga
Sarpsborg 3-1 W 2-2 D
Aalesund 2-1 W 5-5 D
Molde 0-2 L 3-4 L
Lillestrom 1-1 D 0-2 L
Bodo/Glimt 0-2 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: KFUM (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KFUM

LLLWWDLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Sarpsborg
Norway Eliteserien
2-1 3-1 13 W
13/09 Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
2-1 2-1 66 W
06/09 Molde
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-2 22 L
30/08 IK Start
Norway Eliteserien
1-2 1-4 78 L
15/08 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 1-1 34 D
07/08 Sandefjord
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-0 66 W
02/08 Kristiansund BK
Norway Eliteserien
2-0 2-1 31 W
26/07 Molde
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 2-4 36 L
18/07 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 1-2 44 L
12/07 Bodo/Glimt
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-2 61 L

Valerenga

LWWLLDLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 1-1 92 D
12/09 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-2 66 L
06/09 Sarpsborg
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 2-2 82 D
30/08 Molde
Norway Eliteserien
3-4 3-4 55 L
16/08 Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
2-4 5-5 51 D
08/08 Bodo/Glimt
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 1-2 81 L
31/07 Ham-Kam
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-3 35 L
26/07 SK Brann
Norway Eliteserien
3-0 3-2 65 W
16/07 Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
3-0 6-1 80 W
11/07 Tromso
Norway Eliteserien
0-3 0-4 72 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KFUM vs Valerenga?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Valerenga win (41%). Probabilities: KFUM 34%, draw 25%, Valerenga 41%.

How many goals are expected in KFUM vs Valerenga?

The model expects 3.37 goals (KFUM 1.6 · Valerenga 1.77), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KFUM vs Valerenga?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.