Football · Norway Eliteserien · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund

Team pages: Kristiansund BK · Aalesund

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Kristiansund BK1.74

Aalesund1.71

1X2

39% 24% 37%

Kristiansund BK Draw Aalesund

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kristiansund BK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLDWLLL

Aalesund 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLDLDDLWLW

Head-to-head

Kristiansund BK 1–2–3 Aalesund (6 last)

Kristiansund BK0-3Aalesund
Aalesund1-1Kristiansund BK
Aalesund1-0Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK2-1Aalesund
Aalesund5-2Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK1-1Aalesund

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aalesund (rating 1476 vs 1526).
H2H favours Aalesund: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kristiansund BK	Aalesund
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	1.8 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	2.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.99

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.49 → 2.39▼	Pinn 2.39
X	3.73 → 3.88▲	Pinn 3.88
2	2.65 → 2.68▲	Pinn 2.68

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:15 +7’	2.49	3.73	2.65
20:02 +32’	2.39▼	3.88▲	2.68▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristiansund BK 1–2–3 Aalesund

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Europe Friendlies	Kristiansund BK	0-3 HT 0-1	Aalesund
26/04/26 Norway Eliteserien	Aalesund	1-1 HT 0-0	Kristiansund BK
30/01/26 Europe Friendlies	Aalesund	1-0 HT 0-0	Kristiansund BK
23/03/25 Europe Friendlies	Kristiansund BK	2-1 HT 1-0	Aalesund
19/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Aalesund	5-2 HT 3-1	Kristiansund BK
24/03/24 Europe Friendlies	Kristiansund BK	1-1 HT 1-0	Aalesund

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Viking FK	22	17	2	3	56	20	53
2	Bodo/Glimt	22	17	2	3	56	20	53
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	40	29	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	44	32	36
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	40	31	34
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	28	29	32
7	SK Brann	22	9	2	11	39	34	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	25	32	28
9	Sarpsborg	21	6	7	8	24	29	25
10	KFUM	21	7	4	10	25	35	25
11	Sandefjord	22	6	6	10	22	28	24
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	34	43	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	6	5	10	29	44	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	33	46	21
15	Kristiansund BK	22	5	4	13	22	43	19
16	IK Start	21	4	4	13	22	44	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kristiansund BK	Aalesund
Viking FK	1-8 L	1-2 L
Tromso	2-0 W	2-6 L
Ham-Kam	2-2 D	1-1 D
Molde	2-1 W	2-1 W
KFUM	1-2 L	1-2 L
IK Start	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Aalesund (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kristiansund BK

DLLWLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-3	0	2	L
19/09	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
13/09	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	1-5	1-8	5	1	L
06/09	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
30/08	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	0-0	2-2	4	3	D
16/08	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	10	4	L
09/08	Molde Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
02/08	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	3	1	L
25/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
18/07	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

Aalesund

DLDLDDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Molde Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
13/09	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	1-2	1-2	4	6	L
04/09	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
30/08	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
16/08	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	4-2	5-5	10	1	D
09/08	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
02/08	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-6	9	1	L
26/07	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
16/07	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	0-3	1-6	7	0	L
11/07	Molde Norway Eliteserien	1-2	2-2	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kristiansund BK win (39%). Probabilities: Kristiansund BK 39%, draw 24%, Aalesund 37%.

How many goals are expected in Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Kristiansund BK 1.74 · Aalesund 1.71), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.