Prediction: Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 81% | 12% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bodo/Glimt (rating 1605 vs 1436).
- H2H favours Bodo/Glimt: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bodo/Glimt | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.4 | 2.5 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bodo/Glimt 5–1–0 Fredrikstad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/25 Norway Eliteserien | Bodo/Glimt | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Fredrikstad |
| 16/07/25 Norway Eliteserien | Fredrikstad | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bodo/Glimt |
| 10/11/24 Norway Eliteserien | Bodo/Glimt | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Fredrikstad |
| 01/04/24 Norway Eliteserien | Fredrikstad | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Bodo/Glimt |
| 16/08/17 Norway Division 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Fredrikstad |
| 23/04/17 Norway Division 1 | Fredrikstad | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bodo/Glimt |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tromso | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Viking FK | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Molde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 20 |
| 6 | Ham-Kam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 17 |
| 8 | SK Brann | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 16 |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 15 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 14 |
| 12 | Aalesund | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 13 | Rosenborg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
| 14 | KFUM | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 11 |
| 16 | IK Start | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 7 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bodo/Glimt | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| SK Brann | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| IK Start | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Lillestrom | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bodo/Glimt (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bodo/Glimt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Molde Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | SK Brann Norway Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 30/04 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 5-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
Fredrikstad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Valerenga Europe Friendlies |
1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Elfsborg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Ham-Kam Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 29/05 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bodo/Glimt win (79%). Probabilities: Bodo/Glimt 79%, draw 13%, Fredrikstad 7%.
How many goals are expected in Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad?
The model expects 3.77 goals (Bodo/Glimt 2.88 · Fredrikstad 0.88), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.