Football · Norway Eliteserien · 14/09, 19:00

Prediction: Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord

Team pages: Bodo/Glimt · Sandefjord

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.67Total
Bodo/Glimt2.83
Sandefjord0.83
1X2
80% 13% 7%
Bodo/Glimt Draw Sandefjord
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Bodo/Glimt 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWWWWW
Sandefjord 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DLDLLLLWDD
Head-to-head
Bodo/Glimt 4–1–1 Sandefjord (6 last)
  • Sandefjord0-3Bodo/Glimt
  • Sandefjord1-2Bodo/Glimt
  • Bodo/Glimt2-0Sandefjord
  • Sandefjord2-1Bodo/Glimt
  • Bodo/Glimt1-1Sandefjord
  • Bodo/Glimt4-3Sandefjord
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bodo/Glimt 1641 · Sandefjord 1488
Bodo/GlimtDrawSandefjord
Our model78%14%8%
Market81%12%7%
Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bodo/Glimt (rating 1641 vs 1488).
  • H2H favours Bodo/Glimt: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bodo/GlimtSandefjord
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 0.70.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.20.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/20/0%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 7.92.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 04.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bodo/Glimt 411 Sandefjord

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/07/26
Norway Eliteserien
Sandefjord0-3
HT 0-1
Bodo/Glimt
31/08/25
Norway Eliteserien
Sandefjord1-2
HT 0-0
Bodo/Glimt
12/07/25
Norway Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt2-0
HT 0-0
Sandefjord
13/07/24
Norway Eliteserien
Sandefjord2-1
HT 1-0
Bodo/Glimt
29/05/24
Norway Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt1-1
HT 1-1
Sandefjord
21/10/23
Norway Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt4-3
HT 4-2
Sandefjord

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bodo/Glimt 191522 491547
2 Viking FK 191423 431944
3 Tromso 201055 372735
4 Molde 191036 382933
5 Lillestrom 201028 282632
6 Rosenborg 20938 362930
7 SK Brann 19829 372926
8 Fredrikstad 19829 233026
9 Sarpsborg 19667 222524
10 Ham-Kam 19658 263623
11 Valerenga 206410 334222
12 Sandefjord 19559 162420
13 Kristiansund BK 195410 192919
14 KFUM 195410 203319
15 Aalesund 19397 304318
16 IK Start 193412 204113

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBodo/GlimtSandefjord
Fredrikstad 2-1 W 0-1 L
Ham-Kam 3-0 W 2-2 D
KFUM 2-0 W 0-1 L
SK Brann 3-1 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bodo/Glimt (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bodo/Glimt

WDWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 2-1 54 W
30/08 Rosenborg
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 4-2 122 W
08/08 Valerenga
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 2-1 81 W
31/07 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
2-0 4-0 102 W
26/07 Sandefjord
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 3-0 64 W
22/07 Ham-Kam
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 3-0 101 W
17/07 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-0 125 W
12/07 KFUM
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 2-0 41 W
29/05 Rosenborg
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 2-2 63 D
24/05 SK Brann
Norway Eliteserien
2-0 3-1 61 W

Sandefjord

DLDLLLLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 Viking FK
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 1-1 77 D
30/08 SK Brann
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 0-0 55 D
16/08 Sarpsborg
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 2-1 64 W
07/08 KFUM
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-1 56 L
01/08 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-1 51 L
26/07 Bodo/Glimt
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-3 24 L
18/07 Viking FK
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 1-2 56 L
12/07 Ham-Kam
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 2-2 44 D
30/05 Molde
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 1-2 104 L
25/05 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 1-1 65 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bodo/Glimt win (80%). Probabilities: Bodo/Glimt 80%, draw 13%, Sandefjord 7%.

How many goals are expected in Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Bodo/Glimt 2.83 · Sandefjord 0.83), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.