Football · Norway Eliteserien · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt

Team pages: Ham-Kam · Bodo/Glimt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

Ham-Kam1.51

Bodo/Glimt2.22

1X2

25% 22% 53%

Ham-Kam Draw Bodo/Glimt

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Ham-Kam 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Bodo/Glimt 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Ham-Kam 1–1–4 Bodo/Glimt (6 last)

Bodo/Glimt3-0Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam1-3Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt3-0Ham-Kam
Bodo/Glimt3-0Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam1-0Bodo/Glimt
Ham-Kam4-4Bodo/Glimt

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bodo/Glimt (rating 1474 vs 1635).
H2H favours Bodo/Glimt: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ham-Kam	Bodo/Glimt
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.6	2.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.6	4.1 / 8.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.83

Under 3.752.01

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	10.50 → 10.87▲	Pinn 10.87
X	7.30 → 7.49▲	Pinn 7.49
2	1.21 → 1.21▲	Pinn 1.21

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:24 +47’	10.50	7.30	1.21
18:16 +71’	10.87▲	7.49▲	1.21▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ham-Kam 1–1–4 Bodo/Glimt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/07/26 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	3-0 HT 1-0	Ham-Kam
03/08/25 Norway Eliteserien	Ham-Kam	1-3 HT 0-2	Bodo/Glimt
05/04/25 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	3-0 HT 1-0	Ham-Kam
13/09/24 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	3-0 HT 0-0	Ham-Kam
20/05/24 Norway Eliteserien	Ham-Kam	1-0 HT 1-0	Bodo/Glimt
03/09/23 Norway Eliteserien	Ham-Kam	4-4 HT 2-0	Bodo/Glimt

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Viking FK	22	17	2	3	56	20	53
2	Bodo/Glimt	22	17	2	3	56	20	53
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	40	29	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	44	32	36
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	40	31	34
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	28	29	32
7	SK Brann	22	9	2	11	39	34	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	25	32	28
9	Sarpsborg	21	6	7	8	24	29	25
10	KFUM	21	7	4	10	25	35	25
11	Sandefjord	22	6	6	10	22	28	24
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	34	43	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	6	5	10	29	44	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	33	46	21
15	Kristiansund BK	22	5	4	13	22	43	19
16	IK Start	21	4	4	13	22	44	16

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ham-Kam	Bodo/Glimt
Rosenborg	0-4 L	4-2 W
Kristiansund BK	2-2 D	3-1 W
SK Brann	0-3 L	1-2 L
Valerenga	3-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bodo/Glimt (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ham-Kam

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-3	1	1	L
13/09	Molde Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-5	6	1	L
05/09	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
30/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	0-0	2-2	9	3	D
16/08	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
09/08	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
31/07	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
26/07	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
22/07	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
18/07	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-4	1	0	L

Bodo/Glimt

WWWWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
20/09	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
14/09	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-2	10	3	W
04/09	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
30/08	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	4-2	12	2	W
08/08	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	8	1	W
31/07	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	2-0	4-0	10	2	W
26/07	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
22/07	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
17/07	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	12	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bodo/Glimt win (53%). Probabilities: Ham-Kam 25%, draw 22%, Bodo/Glimt 53%.

How many goals are expected in Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt?

The model expects 3.73 goals (Ham-Kam 1.51 · Bodo/Glimt 2.22), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.