Football · Norway Eliteserien · 12/07, 17:00

Prediction: SK Brann vs IK Start

Expected goals: 3.64 (SK Brann 2.59 · IK Start 1.04). The model gives 69% home, 19% draw, 12% away. Over 3.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 2-1.

Recent form leaves SK Brann with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; IK Start has piled up 1-3-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, SK Brann won 3 and IK Start 1, with 2 draws.

69%1
69% 19% 12%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Brann 1474 · IK Start 1445
SK BrannDrawIK Start
Our model70%18%12%
Market69%19%12%
Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.64SK Brann 2.59 · IK Start 1.04
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours SK Brann: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SK BrannIK Start
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.51.2 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.80.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.8 / 6.61 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.13.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Brann 321 IK Start

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/08/22
Norway Division 1
SK Brann1-0
HT 0-0
IK Start
07/07/22
Norway Division 1
IK Start0-2
HT 0-1
SK Brann
11/02/22
Europe Friendlies
IK Start3-1
HT 2-0
SK Brann
09/12/20
Norway Eliteserien
IK Start1-1
HT 0-0
SK Brann
19/07/20
Norway Eliteserien
SK Brann1-1
HT 1-1
IK Start
06/08/18
Norway Eliteserien
SK Brann4-1
HT 2-0
IK Start

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Viking FK 10901 291027
2 Tromso 13742 181425
3 Bodo/Glimt 11722 281123
4 Lillestrom 11614 171119
5 Molde 11614 181319
6 Ham-Kam 10523 171617
7 Sarpsborg 11425 131614
8 Sandefjord 11425 101314
9 Valerenga 11425 131714
10 Fredrikstad 11425 152014
11 SK Brann 12417 242013
12 KFUM 11335 121712
13 Aalesund 11254 152011
14 Kristiansund BK 11326 111811
15 Rosenborg 11236 9189
16 IK Start 12147 13287

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSK BrannIK Start
Sarpsborg 1-2 L 1-1 D
Bodo/Glimt 1-3 L 1-4 L
Fredrikstad 3-1 W 1-2 L
Tromso 5-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SK Brann (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Brann

WDWWDWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Kristiansund BK
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 111 L
29/05 Sarpsborg
Norway Eliteserien
1-2 1-2 84 L
24/05 Bodo/Glimt
Norway Eliteserien
0-2 1-3 31 L
20/05 Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 1-2 73 L
16/05 KFUM
Norway Eliteserien
2-0 2-1 65 W
09/05 Bodo/Glimt
Norway Cup
2-1 2-2 54 D
02/05 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 3-1 32 W
29/04 Tromso
Norway Eliteserien
3-0 5-0 24 W
25/04 Rosenborg
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 1-1 114 D
22/04 Aalesund
Norway Cup
2-0 2-1 101 W

IK Start

DLDLLDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/05 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-2 15 L
25/05 Valerenga
Norway Eliteserien
2-0 2-0 51 W
20/05 Bodo/Glimt
Norway Eliteserien
1-2 1-4 11 L
16/05 Viking FK
Norway Eliteserien
3-1 3-6 25 L
03/05 Tromso
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 1-1 35 D
30/04 Bodo/Glimt
Norway Eliteserien
0-2 0-5 44 L
26/04 Ham-Kam
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 1-2 12 L
19/04 Molde
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-1 23 D
11/04 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
0-2 1-3 56 L
06/04 Sarpsborg
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 1-1 23 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Brann vs IK Start?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Brann win (69%). Probabilities: SK Brann 69%, draw 19%, IK Start 12%.

How many goals are expected in SK Brann vs IK Start?

The model expects 3.64 goals (SK Brann 2.59 · IK Start 1.04), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Brann vs IK Start?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.