Football · Norway Eliteserien · 13/09, 17:00

Prediction: IK Start vs SK Brann

Team pages: IK Start · SK Brann

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

IK Start1.42

SK Brann1.5

1X2

35% 27% 38%

IK Start Draw SK Brann

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Start 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLLWL

SK Brann 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWWDL

Head-to-head

IK Start 1–2–3 SK Brann (6 last)

SK Brann2-1IK Start
SK Brann1-0IK Start
IK Start0-2SK Brann
IK Start3-1SK Brann
IK Start1-1SK Brann
SK Brann1-1IK Start

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Brann (rating 1461 vs 1529).
H2H favours SK Brann: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Start	SK Brann
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	2.6 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.4	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.91

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:30

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.34 → 3.34	Pinn 3.34
X	3.94 → 3.94	Pinn 3.94
2	2.01 → 2.01	Pinn 2.01

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:14 +376’	3.34	3.94	2.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Start 1–2–3 SK Brann

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 Norway Eliteserien	SK Brann	2-1 HT 0-0	IK Start
04/08/22 Norway Division 1	SK Brann	1-0 HT 0-0	IK Start
07/07/22 Norway Division 1	IK Start	0-2 HT 0-1	SK Brann
11/02/22 Europe Friendlies	IK Start	3-1 HT 2-0	SK Brann
09/12/20 Norway Eliteserien	IK Start	1-1 HT 0-0	SK Brann
19/07/20 Norway Eliteserien	SK Brann	1-1 HT 1-1	IK Start

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	15	2	2	49	15	47
2	Viking FK	19	14	2	3	43	19	44
3	Tromso	18	10	5	3	34	20	35
4	Molde	19	10	3	6	38	29	33
5	Lillestrom	19	9	2	8	26	26	29
6	Rosenborg	19	8	3	8	31	26	27
7	SK Brann	19	8	2	9	37	29	26
8	Fredrikstad	19	8	2	9	23	30	26
9	Sarpsborg	19	6	6	7	22	25	24
10	Ham-Kam	19	6	5	8	26	36	23
11	Valerenga	19	6	4	9	33	40	22
12	Sandefjord	19	5	5	9	16	24	20
13	KFUM	19	5	4	10	20	33	19
14	Aalesund	19	3	9	7	30	43	18
15	Kristiansund BK	18	4	4	10	17	29	16
16	IK Start	19	3	4	12	20	41	13

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Start	SK Brann
Aalesund	0-2 L	1-2 L
Rosenborg	0-3 L	3-2 W
Valerenga	2-0 W	2-3 L
Bodo/Glimt	1-4 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SK Brann (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Start

LWLLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-2	6	3	L
30/08	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	2-1	4-1	6	8	W
08/08	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	6	0	L
01/08	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
25/07	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-1	6	7	W
18/07	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
12/07	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
29/05	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-2	1	5	L
25/05	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
20/05	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	1-2	1-4	1	1	L

SK Brann

LLLWWLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	12	2	L
30/08	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
16/08	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	10	3	W
02/08	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-2	5	5	W
26/07	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	0-3	2-3	10	5	L
18/07	Molde Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
12/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
29/05	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-2	1-2	8	4	L
24/05	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-3	3	1	L
20/05	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Start vs SK Brann?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Brann win (38%). Probabilities: IK Start 35%, draw 27%, SK Brann 38%.

How many goals are expected in IK Start vs SK Brann?

The model expects 2.92 goals (IK Start 1.42 · SK Brann 1.5), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Start vs SK Brann?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.