Football · Norway Eliteserien · 09/10, 19:00

Prediction: SK Brann vs Viking FK

Team pages: SK Brann · Viking FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

SK Brann1.52

Viking FK1.76

1X2

33% 25% 43%

SK Brann Draw Viking FK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Brann 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWDLLW

Viking FK 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLWDWW

Head-to-head

SK Brann 1–3–2 Viking FK (6 last)

Viking FK3-2SK Brann
Viking FK3-0SK Brann
SK Brann3-1Viking FK
SK Brann2-2Viking FK
SK Brann1-1Viking FK
Viking FK1-1SK Brann

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Brann 1552 · Viking FK 1616

	SK Brann	Draw	Viking FK
Our model	33%	25%	42%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viking FK (rating 1552 vs 1616).
H2H favours Viking FK: 2-3-1.
High corners: 14.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Brann	Viking FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	2.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.6	4.5 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.75

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.83
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.95 ★
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.26

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:25 +17’	2.80	3.75	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:19 +383’	2.83	3.95	2.26

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Brann 1–3–2 Viking FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Norway Eliteserien	Viking FK	3-2 HT 2-1	SK Brann
05/10/25 Norway Eliteserien	Viking FK	3-0 HT 2-0	SK Brann
13/07/25 Norway Eliteserien	SK Brann	3-1 HT 2-0	Viking FK
14/02/25 Europe Friendlies	SK Brann	2-2 HT 1-1	Viking FK
01/12/24 Norway Eliteserien	SK Brann	1-1 HT 0-0	Viking FK
14/04/24 Norway Eliteserien	Viking FK	1-1 HT 1-0	SK Brann

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Viking FK	21	16	2	3	54	20	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	53	19	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	40	29	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	44	32	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	39	30	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	28	29	32
7	SK Brann	21	9	2	10	39	32	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	25	32	28
9	Sarpsborg	21	6	7	8	24	29	25
10	KFUM	21	7	4	10	25	35	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	21	27	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	34	43	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	6	5	10	29	44	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	33	46	21
15	Kristiansund BK	21	5	4	12	21	40	19
16	IK Start	21	4	4	13	22	44	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Brann	Viking FK
IK Start	0-2 L	3-0 W
Lillestrom	1-2 L	3-0 W
Sandefjord	0-0 D	1-1 D
Rosenborg	3-2 W	1-2 L
Sarpsborg	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Viking FK (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Brann

LWWLWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
13/09	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
05/09	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	12	2	L
30/08	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
16/08	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	10	3	W
02/08	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-2	5	5	W
26/07	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	0-3	2-3	10	5	L
18/07	Molde Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
12/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
29/05	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-2	1-2	8	4	L

Viking FK

WWDWWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
13/09	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	5-1	8-1	7	1	W
04/09	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
30/08	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-1	2-1	14	5	W
14/08	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	6	0	L
08/08	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	11	5	W
01/08	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	3-0	3-0	5	5	W
26/07	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-1	10	7	D
22/07	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	9	6	W
18/07	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	6	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Brann vs Viking FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Viking FK win (43%). Probabilities: SK Brann 33%, draw 25%, Viking FK 43%.

How many goals are expected in SK Brann vs Viking FK?

The model expects 3.28 goals (SK Brann 1.52 · Viking FK 1.76), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Brann vs Viking FK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.