Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs BK Hacken (W)

Team pages: Eskilstuna Utd (W) · BK Hacken (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Eskilstuna Utd (W)0.67

BK Hacken (W)2.33

1X2

9% 17% 74%

Eskilstuna Utd (W) Draw BK Hacken (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-2 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWLWDL

BK Hacken (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 2–4 BK Hacken (W) (6 last)

BK Hacken (W)6-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)1-2BK Hacken (W)
BK Hacken (W)0-1Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)3-2BK Hacken (W)
BK Hacken (W)3-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)
BK Hacken (W)3-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1501 · BK Hacken (W) 1631

	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	Draw	BK Hacken (W)
Our model	8%	18%	74%
Market	9%	16%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Hacken (W) (rating 1501 vs 1631).
H2H favours BK Hacken (W): 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	BK Hacken (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	3.2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	1.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	3.3 / 8.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

110.00

X5.50

21.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.98

2 (-1.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	10.00 → 10.00	Pinn 10.19
X	5.50 → 5.50	Pinn 5.92 ★
2	1.20 → 1.20	Pinn 1.21

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:15 +11’	10.00	5.50	1.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:22 +10’	10.19	5.92	1.21

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 2–0–4 BK Hacken (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	BK Hacken (W)	6-0 HT 2-0	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
17/09/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	BK Hacken (W)
08/06/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	BK Hacken (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
06/11/21 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	3-2 HT 1-0	BK Hacken (W)
22/05/21 Sweden Damallsvenskan	BK Hacken (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
13/05/21 Sweden Cup Women	BK Hacken (W)	3-0 HT 0-0	Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	18	16	1	1	52	13	49
2	Hammarby (W)	17	14	2	1	42	8	44
3	Malmo FF (W)	18	9	6	3	35	11	33
4	Kristianstads (W)	18	8	4	6	30	27	28
5	AIK (W)	18	8	4	6	24	26	28
6	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	18	8	3	7	18	19	27
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	18	7	4	7	22	23	25
8	Brommapojkarna (W)	18	7	2	9	24	33	23
9	Pitea IF (W)	18	6	4	8	21	26	22
10	Djurgardens (W)	18	5	3	10	21	29	18
11	FC Rosengård (W)	18	4	5	9	19	23	17
12	Vaxjo (W)	17	5	2	10	21	32	17
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	18	2	7	9	15	28	13
14	IK Uppsala (W)	18	1	3	14	13	59	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	BK Hacken (W)
Malmo FF (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
AIK (W)	1-1 D	4-1 W
IK Uppsala (W)	6-0 W	3-2 W
FC Rosengård (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Pitea IF (W)	2-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: BK Hacken (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eskilstuna Utd (W)

DWLLWWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
05/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
28/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	5-0	6-0	14	1	W
22/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
08/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	1	0	W
02/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	4	0	L
24/06	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
18/06	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
13/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	4	4	D

BK Hacken (W)

WWWWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-0	10	2	W
06/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
29/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	11	3	W
23/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	4-1	6	2	W
15/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	6-0	9	1	W
09/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	4-1	5	2	W
02/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	6-0	8	0	W
24/06	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	3-2	10	3	W
18/06	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
13/06	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs BK Hacken (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an BK Hacken (W) win (74%). Probabilities: Eskilstuna Utd (W) 9%, draw 17%, BK Hacken (W) 74%.

How many goals are expected in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs BK Hacken (W)?

The model expects 3 goals (Eskilstuna Utd (W) 0.67 · BK Hacken (W) 2.33), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs BK Hacken (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.