Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 27/09, 13:00

Prediction: Brommapojkarna (W) vs Malmo FF (W)

Team pages: Brommapojkarna (W) · Malmo FF (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Brommapojkarna (W)0.79

Malmo FF (W)1.75

1X2

16% 23% 60%

Brommapojkarna (W) Draw Malmo FF (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Brommapojkarna (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDDWWW

Malmo FF (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWLDWDWDWW

Head-to-head

Brommapojkarna (W) 0–3 Malmo FF (W) (3 last)

Malmo FF (W)2-0Brommapojkarna (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)2-5Malmo FF (W)
Malmo FF (W)1-0Brommapojkarna (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brommapojkarna (W) 1503 · Malmo FF (W) 1618

	Brommapojkarna (W)	Draw	Malmo FF (W)
Our model	15%	25%	59%
Market	17%	22%	61%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malmo FF (W) (rating 1503 vs 1618).
H2H favours Malmo FF (W): 3-0-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brommapojkarna (W)	Malmo FF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	2.3 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.5	2.4 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	1.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.25

X4.10

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.77

2 (-1.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.00▼	Pinn 6.04 ★
X	4.10 → 4.20▲	Pinn 4.44
2	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:31 +11’	5.25	4.10	1.48
14:31 +1’	5.00▼	4.20▲	1.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:11 +7’	7.04	4.55	1.33
13:26 +67’	6.04▼	4.44▼	1.43▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brommapojkarna (W) 0–0–3 Malmo FF (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Malmo FF (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Brommapojkarna (W)
23/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	2-5 HT 0-4	Malmo FF (W)
22/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Malmo FF (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Brommapojkarna (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	19	17	1	1	55	13	52
2	Hammarby (W)	19	15	2	2	46	10	47
3	Malmo FF (W)	19	10	6	3	38	11	36
4	AIK (W)	19	9	4	6	26	27	31
5	Kristianstads (W)	19	8	5	6	32	29	29
6	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	19	8	3	8	18	22	27
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	19	7	5	7	24	25	26
8	Brommapojkarna (W)	19	8	2	9	25	33	26
9	Pitea IF (W)	19	6	5	8	23	28	23
10	Djurgardens (W)	19	5	3	11	21	32	18
11	Vaxjo (W)	19	5	3	11	23	37	18
12	FC Rosengård (W)	19	4	5	10	20	25	17
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	19	3	7	9	17	29	16
14	IK Uppsala (W)	19	1	3	15	13	60	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brommapojkarna (W)	Malmo FF (W)
IK Uppsala (W)	1-0 W	6-0 W
Kristianstads (W)	2-0 W	6-0 W
Pitea IF (W)	1-1 D	0-0 D
Djurgardens (W)	2-2 D	3-0 W
BK Hacken (W)	0-6 L	1-1 D
Vaxjo (W)	1-2 L	4-0 W
Vittsjö GIK (W)	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Malmo FF (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brommapojkarna (W)

LLWLLDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
12/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
05/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	9	0	W
30/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
22/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
15/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	0	1	L
07/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
01/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
24/06	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
18/06	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	8	3	L

Malmo FF (W)

WWLDWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	3-0	9	1	W
12/09	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	9	1	W
06/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
29/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-0	8	1	W
21/08	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
15/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	5-0	6-0	6	0	W
31/07	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
27/07	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
27/06	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	6-0	2	1	W
17/06	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brommapojkarna (W) vs Malmo FF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Malmo FF (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Brommapojkarna (W) 16%, draw 23%, Malmo FF (W) 60%.

How many goals are expected in Brommapojkarna (W) vs Malmo FF (W)?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Brommapojkarna (W) 0.79 · Malmo FF (W) 1.75), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brommapojkarna (W) vs Malmo FF (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.