Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 27/09, 13:00

Prediction: FC Rosengård (W) vs Pitea IF (W)

Team pages: FC Rosengård (W) · Pitea IF (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

FC Rosengård (W)1.48

Pitea IF (W)1.01

1X2

48% 27% 26%

FC Rosengård (W) Draw Pitea IF (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Rosengård (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLDLWWL

Pitea IF (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLLWDWLD

Head-to-head

FC Rosengård (W) 4–1–1 Pitea IF (W) (6 last)

Pitea IF (W)2-1FC Rosengård (W)
Pitea IF (W)0-1FC Rosengård (W)
FC Rosengård (W)1-0Pitea IF (W)
Pitea IF (W)0-1FC Rosengård (W)
FC Rosengård (W)4-0Pitea IF (W)
Pitea IF (W)2-2FC Rosengård (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Rosengård (W) 1511 · Pitea IF (W) 1472

	FC Rosengård (W)	Draw	Pitea IF (W)
Our model	47%	29%	25%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Rosengård (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Rosengård (W)	Pitea IF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.5	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	1.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.94 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.56

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:23 +10’	1.85	3.60	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:39 +44’	1.94	3.38	3.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Rosengård (W) 4–1–1 Pitea IF (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Pitea IF (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	FC Rosengård (W)
08/11/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Pitea IF (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Rosengård (W)
23/03/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Pitea IF (W)
30/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Pitea IF (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Rosengård (W)
26/05/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	Pitea IF (W)
30/03/24 Sweden Cup Women	Pitea IF (W)	2-2 HT 1-2	FC Rosengård (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	19	17	1	1	55	13	52
2	Hammarby (W)	19	15	2	2	46	10	47
3	Malmo FF (W)	19	10	6	3	38	11	36
4	AIK (W)	19	9	4	6	26	27	31
5	Kristianstads (W)	19	8	5	6	32	29	29
6	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	19	8	3	8	18	22	27
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	19	7	5	7	24	25	26
8	Brommapojkarna (W)	19	8	2	9	25	33	26
9	Pitea IF (W)	19	6	5	8	23	28	23
10	Djurgardens (W)	19	5	3	11	21	32	18
11	Vaxjo (W)	19	5	3	11	23	37	18
12	FC Rosengård (W)	19	4	5	10	20	25	17
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	19	3	7	9	17	29	16
14	IK Uppsala (W)	19	1	3	15	13	60	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Rosengård (W)	Pitea IF (W)
IK Uppsala (W)	1-0 W	5-1 W
BK Hacken (W)	0-1 L	1-4 L
Kristianstads (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	0-1 L	0-2 L
Vaxjo (W)	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Rosengård (W)

LWDLLDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
12/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	11	0	W
05/09	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
29/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
22/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	0	0	D
15/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	13	1	L
07/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	8	1	L
03/08	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
24/06	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-1	2	2	W
18/06	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-2	8	0	L

Pitea IF (W)

LDDLLWDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-2	4	0	D
13/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	9	2	W
30/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	7	0	D
23/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	5-1	7	1	W
16/08	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-4	0-5	0	0	L
09/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	1-4	2	2	L
31/07	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
25/06	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	2	0	D
18/06	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	8	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Rosengård (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Rosengård (W) win (48%). Probabilities: FC Rosengård (W) 48%, draw 27%, Pitea IF (W) 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Rosengård (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?

The model expects 2.5 goals (FC Rosengård (W) 1.48 · Pitea IF (W) 1.01), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Rosengård (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.