Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 26/09, 15:00
Prediction: IK Uppsala (W) vs Djurgardens (W)
Team pages: IK Uppsala (W) · Djurgardens (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.14Total
IK Uppsala (W)1.08
Djurgardens (W)3.06
1X2
IK Uppsala (W)
Draw
Djurgardens (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
IK Uppsala (W)
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Djurgardens (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IK Uppsala (W)
1–2–3
Djurgardens (W)
(6 last)
- Djurgardens (W)8-0IK Uppsala (W)
- IK Uppsala (W)2-2Djurgardens (W)
- Djurgardens (W)0-4IK Uppsala (W)
- IK Uppsala (W)1-1Djurgardens (W)
- Djurgardens (W)4-0IK Uppsala (W)
- Djurgardens (W)2-0IK Uppsala (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IK Uppsala (W) 1354 · Djurgardens (W) 1482
| IK Uppsala (W) | Draw | Djurgardens (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 9% | 15% | 76% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djurgardens (W) (rating 1354 vs 1482).
- H2H favours Djurgardens (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IK Uppsala (W) | Djurgardens (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 4.2 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 2.2 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.8 | 2.4 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Uppsala (W) 1–2–3 Djurgardens (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Djurgardens (W) | 8-0 HT 3-0 | IK Uppsala (W) |
| 16/10/24 Sweden Cup Women | IK Uppsala (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Djurgardens (W) |
| 11/11/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Djurgardens (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | IK Uppsala (W) |
| 04/05/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan | IK Uppsala (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Djurgardens (W) |
| 13/03/21 Sweden Cup Women | Djurgardens (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | IK Uppsala (W) |
| 15/11/20 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Djurgardens (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | IK Uppsala (W) |
Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BK Hacken (W) | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 13 | 52 |
| 2 | Hammarby (W) | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 46 | 10 | 47 |
| 3 | Malmo FF (W) | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
| 4 | AIK (W) | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | Kristianstads (W) | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 29 |
| 6 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 27 |
| 7 | Vittsjö GIK (W) | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna (W) | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 26 |
| 9 | Pitea IF (W) | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 23 |
| 10 | Djurgardens (W) | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 18 |
| 11 | Vaxjo (W) | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 37 | 18 |
| 12 | FC Rosengård (W) | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 17 |
| 13 | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 16 |
| 14 | IK Uppsala (W) | 19 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 60 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IK Uppsala (W) | Djurgardens (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna (W) | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Rosengård (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Malmo FF (W) | 0-6 L | 0-3 L |
| IFK Norrkoping (W) | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Kristianstads (W) | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Djurgardens (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IK Uppsala (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-5 | 0-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 1-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-5 | 0-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-3 | 0-8 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
Djurgardens (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 14/08 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
3-0 | 8-0 | 18 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IK Uppsala (W) vs Djurgardens (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Djurgardens (W) win (76%). Probabilities: IK Uppsala (W) 9%, draw 15%, Djurgardens (W) 76%.
How many goals are expected in IK Uppsala (W) vs Djurgardens (W)?
The model expects 4.14 goals (IK Uppsala (W) 1.08 · Djurgardens (W) 3.06), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in IK Uppsala (W) vs Djurgardens (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.