Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: IFK Norrkoping (W) vs BK Hacken (W)

Team pages: IFK Norrkoping (W) · BK Hacken (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

IFK Norrkoping (W)0.77

BK Hacken (W)2.39

1X2

10% 17% 73%

IFK Norrkoping (W) Draw BK Hacken (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Norrkoping (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDLWLDLLLW

BK Hacken (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWDWW

Head-to-head

IFK Norrkoping (W) 2–4 BK Hacken (W) (6 last)

BK Hacken (W)2-0IFK Norrkoping (W)
BK Hacken (W)1-3IFK Norrkoping (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)2-1BK Hacken (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)0-4BK Hacken (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)0-1BK Hacken (W)
BK Hacken (W)4-3IFK Norrkoping (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1461 · BK Hacken (W) 1629

	IFK Norrkoping (W)	Draw	BK Hacken (W)
Our model	9%	18%	73%
Market	11%	16%	74%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Hacken (W) (rating 1461 vs 1629).
H2H favours BK Hacken (W): 4-0-2.
High corners: 14.1 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Norrkoping (W)	BK Hacken (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.7	3.4 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.8	3.2 / 8.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

18.50

X5.75

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.95

2 (-1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.50 → 8.50	Pinn 10.36 ★
X	5.75 → 5.75	Pinn 6.05
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:24 +5’	8.50	5.75	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:58 +10’	10.36	6.05	1.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Norrkoping (W) 2–0–4 BK Hacken (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	BK Hacken (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	IFK Norrkoping (W)
23/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	BK Hacken (W)	1-3 HT 1-0	IFK Norrkoping (W)
01/05/25 Sweden Cup Women	IFK Norrkoping (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	BK Hacken (W)
26/04/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping (W)	0-4 HT 0-1	BK Hacken (W)
14/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	BK Hacken (W)
13/04/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	BK Hacken (W)	4-3 HT 1-1	IFK Norrkoping (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	19	17	1	1	55	13	52
2	Hammarby (W)	19	15	2	2	46	10	47
3	Malmo FF (W)	19	10	6	3	38	11	36
4	AIK (W)	19	9	4	6	26	27	31
5	Kristianstads (W)	19	8	5	6	32	29	29
6	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	19	8	3	8	18	22	27
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	19	7	5	7	24	25	26
8	Brommapojkarna (W)	19	8	2	9	25	33	26
9	Pitea IF (W)	19	6	5	8	23	28	23
10	Djurgardens (W)	19	5	3	11	21	32	18
11	Vaxjo (W)	19	5	3	11	23	37	18
12	FC Rosengård (W)	19	4	5	10	20	25	17
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	19	3	7	9	17	29	16
14	IK Uppsala (W)	19	1	3	15	13	60	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Norrkoping (W)	BK Hacken (W)
FC Rosengård (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Brommapojkarna (W)	0-2 L	6-0 W
Vittsjö GIK (W)	1-1 D	4-0 W
IK Uppsala (W)	4-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: BK Hacken (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Norrkoping (W)

DDLWLDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
12/09	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
05/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
30/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
23/08	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	9	0	D
16/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-5	7	0	L
01/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
25/07	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-4	3	1	L
24/06	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
18/06	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	6	3	D

BK Hacken (W)

WWWWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
13/09	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-0	10	2	W
06/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
29/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	11	3	W
23/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	4-1	6	2	W
15/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	6-0	9	1	W
09/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	4-1	5	2	W
02/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	6-0	8	0	W
24/06	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	3-2	10	3	W
18/06	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-0	7	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Norrkoping (W) vs BK Hacken (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an BK Hacken (W) win (73%). Probabilities: IFK Norrkoping (W) 10%, draw 17%, BK Hacken (W) 73%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Norrkoping (W) vs BK Hacken (W)?

The model expects 3.16 goals (IFK Norrkoping (W) 0.77 · BK Hacken (W) 2.39), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Norrkoping (W) vs BK Hacken (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.