Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: Hammarby (W) vs Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Team pages: Hammarby (W) · Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Hammarby (W)2.57

Eskilstuna Utd (W)0.57

1X2

81% 13% 6%

Hammarby (W) Draw Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hammarby (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWWWL

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWDLL

Head-to-head

Hammarby (W) 3–1–2 Eskilstuna Utd (W) (6 last)

Eskilstuna Utd (W)0-1Hammarby (W)
Hammarby (W)5-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)0-1Hammarby (W)
Hammarby (W)0-3Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Hammarby (W)0-2Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)1-1Hammarby (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hammarby (W) 1614 · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1480

	Hammarby (W)	Draw	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Our model	80%	15%	6%
Market	82%	12%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby (W) (rating 1614 vs 1480).
H2H favours Hammarby (W): 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hammarby (W)	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 0.6	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 7.1	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.13

X7.50

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.88

2 (+2.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13
X	7.50 → 7.50	Pinn 8.36 ★
2	15.00 → 15.00	Pinn 15.14

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9% Pinnacle margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:32 +14’	1.13	7.50	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:40 +7’	1.11	8.32	14.96
13:23 +40’	1.11▼	8.36▲	15.14▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby (W) 3–1–2 Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Hammarby (W)
11/03/23 Sweden Cup Women	Hammarby (W)	5-0 HT 2-0	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
14/08/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Hammarby (W)
26/03/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Hammarby (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
20/08/21 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Hammarby (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
17/05/21 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Hammarby (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	19	17	1	1	55	13	52
2	Hammarby (W)	19	15	2	2	46	10	47
3	Malmo FF (W)	19	10	6	3	38	11	36
4	AIK (W)	19	9	4	6	26	27	31
5	Kristianstads (W)	19	8	5	6	32	29	29
6	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	19	8	3	8	18	22	27
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	19	7	5	7	24	25	26
8	Brommapojkarna (W)	19	8	2	9	25	33	26
9	Pitea IF (W)	19	6	5	8	23	28	23
10	Djurgardens (W)	19	5	3	11	21	32	18
11	Vaxjo (W)	19	5	3	11	23	37	18
12	FC Rosengård (W)	19	4	5	10	20	25	17
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	19	3	7	9	17	29	16
14	IK Uppsala (W)	19	1	3	15	13	60	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hammarby (W)	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
AIK (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Vaxjo (W)	3-0 W	0-1 L
Malmo FF (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Pitea IF (W)	5-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hammarby (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hammarby (W)

WDWWWDWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	1-2	2	3	L
13/09	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
05/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	14	2	W
29/08	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	3-1	8	1	W
21/08	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
16/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	4-0	5-0	7	0	W
31/07	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	5-0	14	0	W
25/07	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	4-0	8	1	W
25/06	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	5	0	D
17/06	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	4-1	2	1	W

Eskilstuna Utd (W)

WLLWWLWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
12/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
05/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
28/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	5-0	6-0	14	1	W
22/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
08/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	1	0	W
02/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	4	0	L
24/06	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
18/06	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hammarby (W) vs Eskilstuna Utd (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hammarby (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Hammarby (W) 81%, draw 13%, Eskilstuna Utd (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Hammarby (W) vs Eskilstuna Utd (W)?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Hammarby (W) 2.57 · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 0.57), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hammarby (W) vs Eskilstuna Utd (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.