Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 20/09, 15:00
Prediction: IFK Norrkoping (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)
Team pages: IFK Norrkoping (W) · FC Rosengård (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
IFK Norrkoping (W)1.08
FC Rosengård (W)1.28
1X2
IFK Norrkoping (W)
Draw
FC Rosengård (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
IFK Norrkoping (W)
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
FC Rosengård (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IFK Norrkoping (W)
1–1–4
FC Rosengård (W)
(6 last)
- FC Rosengård (W)1-1IFK Norrkoping (W)
- IFK Norrkoping (W)1-0FC Rosengård (W)
- FC Rosengård (W)2-1IFK Norrkoping (W)
- IFK Norrkoping (W)0-1FC Rosengård (W)
- FC Rosengård (W)4-0IFK Norrkoping (W)
- FC Rosengård (W)2-1IFK Norrkoping (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1464 · FC Rosengård (W) 1493
| IFK Norrkoping (W) | Draw | FC Rosengård (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Rosengård (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IFK Norrkoping (W) | FC Rosengård (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.8 | 2.5 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 1.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1–1–4 FC Rosengård (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan | FC Rosengård (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
| 19/10/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Rosengård (W) |
| 10/05/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | FC Rosengård (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
| 12/10/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Rosengård (W) |
| 08/06/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | FC Rosengård (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
| 02/07/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan | FC Rosengård (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BK Hacken (W) | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 13 | 52 |
| 2 | Hammarby (W) | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 46 | 10 | 47 |
| 3 | Malmo FF (W) | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
| 4 | AIK (W) | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | Kristianstads (W) | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 28 |
| 6 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 27 |
| 7 | Vittsjö GIK (W) | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna (W) | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 26 |
| 9 | Pitea IF (W) | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 22 |
| 10 | Djurgardens (W) | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 18 |
| 11 | Vaxjo (W) | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 37 | 18 |
| 12 | FC Rosengård (W) | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 17 |
| 13 | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 13 |
| 14 | IK Uppsala (W) | 19 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 60 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IFK Norrkoping (W) | FC Rosengård (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Djurgardens (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Vittsjö GIK (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Kristianstads (W) | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| IK Uppsala (W) | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Vaxjo (W) | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IFK Norrkoping (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 16/08 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-5 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/06 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
FC Rosengård (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 15/08 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 03/08 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/06 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IFK Norrkoping (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Rosengård (W) win (41%). Probabilities: IFK Norrkoping (W) 31%, draw 28%, FC Rosengård (W) 41%.
How many goals are expected in IFK Norrkoping (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?
The model expects 2.36 goals (IFK Norrkoping (W) 1.08 · FC Rosengård (W) 1.28), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in IFK Norrkoping (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.