Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: IK Uppsala (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)

Team pages: IK Uppsala (W) · Brommapojkarna (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

IK Uppsala (W)0.83

Brommapojkarna (W)2.83

1X2

7% 15% 78%

IK Uppsala (W) Draw Brommapojkarna (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Uppsala (W) 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Brommapojkarna (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLDDWW

Head-to-head

IK Uppsala (W) 0–2–4 Brommapojkarna (W) (6 last)

Brommapojkarna (W)3-0IK Uppsala (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)4-2IK Uppsala (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)5-1IK Uppsala (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)5-0IK Uppsala (W)
IK Uppsala (W)0-0Brommapojkarna (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)2-2IK Uppsala (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Uppsala (W) 1349 · Brommapojkarna (W) 1520

	IK Uppsala (W)	Draw	Brommapojkarna (W)
Our model	8%	14%	78%
Market	7%	15%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brommapojkarna (W) (rating 1349 vs 1520).
H2H favours Brommapojkarna (W): 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Uppsala (W)	Brommapojkarna (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 4.5	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 2.6	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/10/90%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 2.4	2.1 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

113.00

X6.25

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)2.00

2 (-2)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	21.00 → 13.00▼	Bet365 13.00
X	7.50 → 6.25▼	Bet365 6.25
2	1.11 → 1.18▲	Pinn 1.24 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.4% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:03 +23’	21.00	7.50	1.11
16:31 +1’	13.00▼	6.25▼	1.18▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:32 +60’	12.82	4.86	1.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Uppsala (W) 0–2–4 Brommapojkarna (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Women’s Friendly	Brommapojkarna (W)	3-0 HT 3-0	IK Uppsala (W)
23/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	4-2 HT 1-0	IK Uppsala (W)
17/03/24 Sweden Cup Women	Brommapojkarna (W)	5-1 HT 4-0	IK Uppsala (W)
10/02/24 Women’s Friendly	Brommapojkarna (W)	5-0 HT 3-0	IK Uppsala (W)
03/09/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IK Uppsala (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Brommapojkarna (W)
26/03/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	2-2 HT 2-0	IK Uppsala (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	18	16	1	1	52	13	49
2	Hammarby (W)	17	14	2	1	42	8	44
3	Malmo FF (W)	18	9	6	3	35	11	33
4	Kristianstads (W)	18	8	4	6	30	27	28
5	AIK (W)	18	8	4	6	24	26	28
6	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	18	8	3	7	18	19	27
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	18	7	4	7	22	23	25
8	Brommapojkarna (W)	18	7	2	9	24	33	23
9	Pitea IF (W)	18	6	4	8	21	26	22
10	Djurgardens (W)	18	5	3	10	21	29	18
11	FC Rosengård (W)	18	4	5	9	19	23	17
12	Vaxjo (W)	17	5	2	10	21	32	17
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	18	2	7	9	15	28	13
14	IK Uppsala (W)	18	1	3	14	13	59	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Uppsala (W)	Brommapojkarna (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)	0-5 L	1-2 L
Pitea IF (W)	1-5 L	1-1 D
Djurgardens (W)	0-8 L	2-2 D
IFK Norrkoping (W)	0-4 L	2-0 W
BK Hacken (W)	2-3 L	0-6 L
Kristianstads (W)	2-3 L	2-0 W
Vaxjo (W)	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 7 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Brommapojkarna (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Uppsala (W)

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
05/09	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-5	3	3	L
28/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-5	0-6	1	1	L
23/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	1-5	0	1	L
15/08	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-5	0-6	4	0	L
08/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-8	0	0	L
01/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-4	4	1	L
24/06	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	2-3	3	3	L
18/06	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	2-3	3	0	L
13/06	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-4	0-4	3	2	L

Brommapojkarna (W)

WLLWLLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
05/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	9	0	W
30/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
22/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
15/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	0	1	L
07/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
01/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
24/06	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
18/06	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	8	3	L
13/06	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Uppsala (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brommapojkarna (W) win (78%). Probabilities: IK Uppsala (W) 7%, draw 15%, Brommapojkarna (W) 78%.

How many goals are expected in IK Uppsala (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)?

The model expects 3.65 goals (IK Uppsala (W) 0.83 · Brommapojkarna (W) 2.83), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Uppsala (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.