Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 19/09, 13:00

Prediction: Vittsjö GIK (W) vs Vaxjo (W)

Team pages: Vittsjö GIK (W) · Vaxjo (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Vittsjö GIK (W)1.92

Vaxjo (W)1.19

1X2

53% 24% 23%

Vittsjö GIK (W) Draw Vaxjo (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Vittsjö GIK (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWDWDLWL

Vaxjo (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Vittsjö GIK (W) 1–3–2 Vaxjo (W) (6 last)

Vaxjo (W)0-2Vittsjö GIK (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)2-2Vaxjo (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)1-2Vaxjo (W)
Vaxjo (W)2-2Vittsjö GIK (W)
Vaxjo (W)2-0Vittsjö GIK (W)
Vaxjo (W)0-0Vittsjö GIK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vittsjö GIK (W) 1535 · Vaxjo (W) 1455

	Vittsjö GIK (W)	Draw	Vaxjo (W)
Our model	53%	24%	23%
Market	54%	24%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vittsjö GIK (W) (rating 1535 vs 1455).
H2H favours Vaxjo (W): 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vittsjö GIK (W)	Vaxjo (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.80

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.83 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:11 +15’	1.67	3.80	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:43 +43’	1.83	3.63	3.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vittsjö GIK (W) 1–3–2 Vaxjo (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Vittsjö GIK (W)
21/02/26 Sweden Cup Women	Vittsjö GIK (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Vaxjo (W)
09/11/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vittsjö GIK (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Vaxjo (W)
26/04/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Vittsjö GIK (W)
07/02/25 Women’s Friendly	Vaxjo (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Vittsjö GIK (W)
02/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Vittsjö GIK (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	18	16	1	1	52	13	49
2	Hammarby (W)	17	14	2	1	42	8	44
3	Malmo FF (W)	18	9	6	3	35	11	33
4	Kristianstads (W)	18	8	4	6	30	27	28
5	AIK (W)	18	8	4	6	24	26	28
6	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	18	8	3	7	18	19	27
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	18	7	4	7	22	23	25
8	Brommapojkarna (W)	18	7	2	9	24	33	23
9	Pitea IF (W)	18	6	4	8	21	26	22
10	Djurgardens (W)	18	5	3	10	21	29	18
11	FC Rosengård (W)	18	4	5	9	19	23	17
12	Vaxjo (W)	17	5	2	10	21	32	17
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	18	2	7	9	15	28	13
14	IK Uppsala (W)	18	1	3	14	13	59	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vittsjö GIK (W)	Vaxjo (W)
IK Uppsala (W)	5-0 W	4-0 W
Hammarby (W)	1-3 L	0-3 L
IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-1 D	0-0 D
FC Rosengård (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Malmo FF (W)	1-0 W	0-4 L
Brommapojkarna (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vittsjö GIK (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vittsjö GIK (W)

DWDWDWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-4	3	2	L
05/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	5-0	5	3	W
29/08	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
23/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	7	0	D
15/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	0	1	W
03/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
27/07	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
24/06	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	11	2	D
18/06	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	8	3	W
12/06	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	0	2	D

Vaxjo (W)

WDWLWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
05/09	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
29/08	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-4	12	1	L
22/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
14/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	2-3	6	2	L
07/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	1	W
31/07	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-5	1	0	L
24/06	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	2	1	W
18/06	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
13/06	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	4-0	4-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vittsjö GIK (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vittsjö GIK (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Vittsjö GIK (W) 53%, draw 24%, Vaxjo (W) 23%.

How many goals are expected in Vittsjö GIK (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Vittsjö GIK (W) 1.92 · Vaxjo (W) 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vittsjö GIK (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.