Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)

Team pages: Eskilstuna Utd (W) · IFK Norrkoping (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Eskilstuna Utd (W)1.43

IFK Norrkoping (W)1.38

1X2

38% 27% 35%

Eskilstuna Utd (W) Draw IFK Norrkoping (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDLLLL

IFK Norrkoping (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLLWLD

Head-to-head

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 3–1 IFK Norrkoping (W) (4 last)

IFK Norrkoping (W)0-2Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)1-2IFK Norrkoping (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)1-2Eskilstuna Utd (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)0-6Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1502 · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1439

	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	Draw	IFK Norrkoping (W)
Our model	37%	28%	35%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eskilstuna Utd (W) (rating 1502 vs 1439).
H2H favours Eskilstuna Utd (W): 3-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	IFK Norrkoping (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.7	0.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4	1.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.43
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.76 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:13 +3’	2.35	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:41 +37’	2.28	3.43	2.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 3–0–1 IFK Norrkoping (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
02/10/24 Sweden Cup Women	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	IFK Norrkoping (W)
29/09/21 Sweden Cup Women	IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
25/09/18 Sweden Cup Women	IFK Norrkoping (W)	0-6 HT 0-3	Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	21	19	1	1	70	13	58
2	Hammarby (W)	21	17	2	2	51	10	53
3	Malmo FF (W)	21	11	6	4	40	14	39
4	AIK (W)	21	10	4	7	30	29	34
5	Kristianstads (W)	21	9	5	7	35	32	32
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	21	9	5	7	29	26	32
7	Brommapojkarna (W)	21	9	2	10	28	36	29
8	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	21	8	3	10	18	27	27
9	Pitea IF (W)	21	6	6	9	24	30	24
10	Djurgardens (W)	21	7	3	11	27	34	24
11	FC Rosengård (W)	21	5	5	11	21	26	20
12	Vaxjo (W)	21	5	3	13	23	42	18
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	21	3	8	10	18	36	17
14	IK Uppsala (W)	21	1	3	17	14	73	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	IFK Norrkoping (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
Hammarby (W)	0-3 L	0-2 L
BK Hacken (W)	0-3 L	0-6 L
IK Uppsala (W)	6-0 W	4-0 W
FC Rosengård (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Kristianstads (W)	1-0 W	0-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Eskilstuna Utd (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eskilstuna Utd (W)

LWWLWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
26/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
19/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
12/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
05/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
28/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	5-0	6-0	14	1	W
22/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
08/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
02/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	4	0	L

IFK Norrkoping (W)

LWLDLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
26/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	3	0	L
20/09	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
12/09	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
05/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
30/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
23/08	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	9	0	D
16/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-5	7	0	L
01/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
25/07	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-4	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eskilstuna Utd (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Eskilstuna Utd (W) 38%, draw 27%, IFK Norrkoping (W) 35%.

How many goals are expected in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1.43 · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.