Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)

Team pages: Eskilstuna Utd (W) · Brommapojkarna (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Eskilstuna Utd (W)1.21

Brommapojkarna (W)1.36

1X2

33% 27% 40%

Eskilstuna Utd (W) Draw Brommapojkarna (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLLLLL

Brommapojkarna (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 3–2 Brommapojkarna (W) (5 last)

Brommapojkarna (W)0-1Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)0-5Brommapojkarna (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)1-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)1-3Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)3-0Brommapojkarna (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1492 · Brommapojkarna (W) 1534

	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	Draw	Brommapojkarna (W)
Our model	32%	29%	39%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brommapojkarna (W) (rating 1492 vs 1534).
H2H favours Eskilstuna Utd (W): 3-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	Brommapojkarna (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	1.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 23:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.63▼	Pinn 2.84 ★
X	3.70 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
2	2.05 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.37

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:04 +15’	2.88	3.70	2.05
16:15 +2’	2.75▼	3.70	2.10▲
23:08 +7’	2.63▼	3.60▼	2.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:53 +26’	2.63	3.21	2.51
15:59 +17’	2.71▲	3.21	2.43▼
17:14 +3’	2.84▲	3.15▼	2.37▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 3–0–2 Brommapojkarna (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
04/03/23 Sweden Cup Women	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	0-5 HT 0-1	Brommapojkarna (W)
05/08/22 Women’s Friendly	Brommapojkarna (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
19/06/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	1-3 HT 0-2	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
21/04/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Brommapojkarna (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	22	20	1	1	73	13	61
2	Hammarby (W)	22	17	2	3	51	13	53
3	Malmo FF (W)	22	12	6	4	43	16	42
4	Kristianstads (W)	22	10	5	7	40	32	35
5	AIK (W)	22	10	4	8	32	32	34
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	22	9	5	8	29	28	32
7	Brommapojkarna (W)	22	10	2	10	30	37	32
8	Djurgardens (W)	22	8	3	11	30	36	27
9	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	22	8	3	11	19	29	27
10	Pitea IF (W)	22	6	6	10	26	33	24
11	FC Rosengård (W)	22	6	5	11	23	26	23
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	22	4	8	10	20	37	20
13	Vaxjo (W)	22	5	3	14	24	44	18
14	IK Uppsala (W)	22	1	3	18	14	78	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	Brommapojkarna (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-2 L	2-0 W
Hammarby (W)	0-3 L	0-2 L
BK Hacken (W)	0-3 L	0-6 L
Malmo FF (W)	0-1 L	3-1 W
AIK (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
IK Uppsala (W)	6-0 W	1-0 W
Vaxjo (W)	0-1 L	2-1 W
Kristianstads (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Brommapojkarna (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eskilstuna Utd (W)

WWLWDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	3	0	L
03/10	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
26/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
19/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
12/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
05/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
28/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	5-0	6-0	14	1	W
22/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
08/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	0	W

Brommapojkarna (W)

LLDDWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
04/10	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
27/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	3-1	1	1	W
19/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
12/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
05/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	9	0	W
30/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
22/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
15/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	0	1	L
07/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brommapojkarna (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Eskilstuna Utd (W) 33%, draw 27%, Brommapojkarna (W) 40%.

How many goals are expected in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1.21 · Brommapojkarna (W) 1.36), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.