Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 25/10, 13:00

Prediction: Vittsjö GIK (W) vs Pitea IF (W)

Team pages: Vittsjö GIK (W) · Pitea IF (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Vittsjö GIK (W)1.49

Pitea IF (W)1.44

1X2

38% 27% 36%

Vittsjö GIK (W) Draw Pitea IF (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Vittsjö GIK (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLWLDWWL

Pitea IF (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLDLDL

Head-to-head

Vittsjö GIK (W) 3–3 Pitea IF (W) (6 last)

Pitea IF (W)1-0Vittsjö GIK (W)
Pitea IF (W)2-3Vittsjö GIK (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)2-1Pitea IF (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)2-0Pitea IF (W)
Pitea IF (W)1-0Vittsjö GIK (W)
Pitea IF (W)1-0Vittsjö GIK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vittsjö GIK (W) 1529 · Pitea IF (W) 1491

	Vittsjö GIK (W)	Draw	Pitea IF (W)
Our model	38%	27%	35%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vittsjö GIK (W)	Pitea IF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.2	3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.84 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:22 +5’	2.35	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:24 +3’	2.84	3.32	2.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vittsjö GIK (W) 3–0–3 Pitea IF (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Pitea IF (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Vittsjö GIK (W)
28/09/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Pitea IF (W)	2-3 HT 0-1	Vittsjö GIK (W)
10/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vittsjö GIK (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Pitea IF (W)
20/10/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vittsjö GIK (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Pitea IF (W)
09/06/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Pitea IF (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Vittsjö GIK (W)
15/10/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Pitea IF (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Vittsjö GIK (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	22	20	1	1	73	13	61
2	Hammarby (W)	22	17	2	3	51	13	53
3	Malmo FF (W)	22	12	6	4	43	16	42
4	Kristianstads (W)	22	10	5	7	40	32	35
5	AIK (W)	22	10	4	8	32	32	34
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	22	9	5	8	29	28	32
7	Brommapojkarna (W)	22	10	2	10	30	37	32
8	Djurgardens (W)	22	8	3	11	30	36	27
9	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	22	8	3	11	19	29	27
10	Pitea IF (W)	22	6	6	10	26	33	24
11	FC Rosengård (W)	22	6	5	11	23	26	23
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	22	4	8	10	20	37	20
13	Vaxjo (W)	22	5	3	14	24	44	18
14	IK Uppsala (W)	22	1	3	18	14	78	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vittsjö GIK (W)	Pitea IF (W)
FC Rosengård (W)	0-2 L	0-1 L
Kristianstads (W)	3-1 W	2-2 D
Vaxjo (W)	2-2 D	2-0 W
BK Hacken (W)	0-4 L	1-4 L
IK Uppsala (W)	5-0 W	5-1 W
Hammarby (W)	1-3 L	0-5 L
IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
AIK (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Vittsjö GIK (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vittsjö GIK (W)

DWDLWLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
03/10	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
26/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
19/09	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-2	7	2	D
13/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-4	3	2	L
05/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	5-0	5	3	W
29/08	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
23/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	7	0	D
15/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	0	1	W
03/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	2	D

Pitea IF (W)

LLWDWLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-3	9	2	L
03/10	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
27/09	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
20/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-2	4	0	D
13/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	9	2	W
30/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	7	0	D
23/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	5-1	7	1	W
16/08	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-4	0-5	0	0	L
09/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	1-4	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vittsjö GIK (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vittsjö GIK (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Vittsjö GIK (W) 38%, draw 27%, Pitea IF (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Vittsjö GIK (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Vittsjö GIK (W) 1.49 · Pitea IF (W) 1.44), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vittsjö GIK (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.