Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: Kristianstads (W) vs Malmo FF (W)

Team pages: Kristianstads (W) · Malmo FF (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Kristianstads (W)1.18

Malmo FF (W)1.87

1X2

23% 24% 53%

Kristianstads (W) Draw Malmo FF (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Kristianstads (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWDLWW

Malmo FF (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWDWWLWW

Head-to-head

Kristianstads (W) 1–1–2 Malmo FF (W) (4 last)

Malmo FF (W)6-0Kristianstads (W)
Malmo FF (W)1-3Kristianstads (W)
Kristianstads (W)1-1Malmo FF (W)
Malmo FF (W)1-0Kristianstads (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kristianstads (W) 1552 · Malmo FF (W) 1600

	Kristianstads (W)	Draw	Malmo FF (W)
Our model	23%	25%	53%
Market	23%	24%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malmo FF (W) (rating 1552 vs 1600).
H2H favours Malmo FF (W): 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kristianstads (W)	Malmo FF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	2.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	1.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.9	3.2 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	1.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.75

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:08 +8’	3.90	3.75	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristianstads (W) 1–1–2 Malmo FF (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Malmo FF (W)	6-0 HT 3-0	Kristianstads (W)
14/03/26 Sweden Cup Women	Malmo FF (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	Kristianstads (W)
27/09/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Malmo FF (W)
13/04/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Malmo FF (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Kristianstads (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	22	20	1	1	73	13	61
2	Hammarby (W)	22	17	2	3	51	13	53
3	Malmo FF (W)	22	12	6	4	43	16	42
4	Kristianstads (W)	22	10	5	7	40	32	35
5	AIK (W)	22	10	4	8	32	32	34
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	22	9	5	8	29	28	32
7	Brommapojkarna (W)	22	10	2	10	30	37	32
8	Djurgardens (W)	22	8	3	11	30	36	27
9	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	22	8	3	11	19	29	27
10	Pitea IF (W)	22	6	6	10	26	33	24
11	FC Rosengård (W)	22	6	5	11	23	26	23
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	22	4	8	10	20	37	20
13	Vaxjo (W)	22	5	3	14	24	44	18
14	IK Uppsala (W)	22	1	3	18	14	78	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kristianstads (W)	Malmo FF (W)
IK Uppsala (W)	5-0 W	6-0 W
Vaxjo (W)	2-0 W	4-0 W
Pitea IF (W)	2-2 D	0-0 D
Djurgardens (W)	2-0 W	3-0 W
Brommapojkarna (W)	0-2 L	1-3 L
AIK (W)	1-0 W	3-2 W
FC Rosengård (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Malmo FF (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kristianstads (W)

LWDWLWDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	5-0	7	1	W
03/10	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	4	1	W
26/09	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
20/09	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	2-2	6	0	D
13/09	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	3	0	W
05/09	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
29/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
22/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
16/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	5-0	4	0	W
08/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	0	L

Malmo FF (W)

DWDWDWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-1	3-2	2	3	W
04/10	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	9	1	W
27/09	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-3	8	1	L
18/09	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	3-0	9	1	W
12/09	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	9	1	W
06/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
29/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-0	8	1	W
21/08	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
15/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	5-0	6-0	6	0	W
31/07	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	6	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristianstads (W) vs Malmo FF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Malmo FF (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Kristianstads (W) 23%, draw 24%, Malmo FF (W) 53%.

How many goals are expected in Kristianstads (W) vs Malmo FF (W)?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Kristianstads (W) 1.18 · Malmo FF (W) 1.87), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kristianstads (W) vs Malmo FF (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.