Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: IFK Norrkoping (W) vs IK Uppsala (W)

Team pages: IFK Norrkoping (W) · IK Uppsala (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.91Total

IFK Norrkoping (W)2.95

IK Uppsala (W)0.95

1X2

84% 10% 5%

IFK Norrkoping (W) Draw IK Uppsala (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 9%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Norrkoping (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLWLDW

IK Uppsala (W) 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

IFK Norrkoping (W) 3–1–1 IK Uppsala (W) (5 last)

IK Uppsala (W)0-4IFK Norrkoping (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)6-0IK Uppsala (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)2-1IK Uppsala (W)
IK Uppsala (W)2-2IFK Norrkoping (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)1-2IK Uppsala (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1482 · IK Uppsala (W) 1372

	IFK Norrkoping (W)	Draw	IK Uppsala (W)
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	90%	7%	2%

Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Norrkoping (W) (rating 1482 vs 1372).
H2H favours IFK Norrkoping (W): 3-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Norrkoping (W)	IK Uppsala (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2	0.2 / 5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0 / 2.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	0/20/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.7	0.9 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	1.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.04

X13.00

241.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.25)1.90

2 (+3.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.08 → 1.04▼	Pinn 1.08 ★
X	9.50 → 13.00▲	Bet365 13.00
2	21.00 → 41.00▲	Bet365 41.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 5.8% Pinnacle margin 8.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:03 +14’	1.08	9.50	21.00
00:01 +7’	1.03▼	13.00▲	41.00▲
01:04 +6’	1.04▲	13.00	41.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:40 +39’	1.08	9.77	17.80
06:50 +19’	1.08▼	9.96▲	18.28▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Norrkoping (W) 3–1–1 IK Uppsala (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IK Uppsala (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	IFK Norrkoping (W)
03/02/24 Women’s Friendly	IFK Norrkoping (W)	6-0 HT 2-0	IK Uppsala (W)
09/09/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	IK Uppsala (W)
16/04/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IK Uppsala (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	IFK Norrkoping (W)
11/09/21 Sweden Elitettan	IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	IK Uppsala (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	22	20	1	1	73	13	61
2	Hammarby (W)	22	17	2	3	51	13	53
3	Malmo FF (W)	22	12	6	4	43	16	42
4	Kristianstads (W)	22	10	5	7	40	32	35
5	AIK (W)	22	10	4	8	32	32	34
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	22	9	5	8	29	28	32
7	Brommapojkarna (W)	22	10	2	10	30	37	32
8	Djurgardens (W)	22	8	3	11	30	36	27
9	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	22	8	3	11	19	29	27
10	Pitea IF (W)	22	6	6	10	26	33	24
11	FC Rosengård (W)	22	6	5	11	23	26	23
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	22	4	8	10	20	37	20
13	Vaxjo (W)	22	5	3	14	24	44	18
14	IK Uppsala (W)	22	1	3	18	14	78	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Norrkoping (W)	IK Uppsala (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	2-1 W	0-6 L
Pitea IF (W)	1-1 D	1-5 L
BK Hacken (W)	0-6 L	0-9 L
FC Rosengård (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Brommapojkarna (W)	0-2 L	0-1 L
Djurgardens (W)	0-1 L	1-4 L
Vittsjö GIK (W)	1-1 D	0-5 L
Kristianstads (W)	0-5 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	0 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Norrkoping (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Norrkoping (W)

WLDLLLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	6	0	W
03/10	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
26/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	3	0	L
20/09	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
12/09	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
05/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
30/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
23/08	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	9	0	D
16/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-5	7	0	L
01/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-0	4	1	W

IK Uppsala (W)

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-5	1	1	L
04/10	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-6	0-9	0	2	L
26/09	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	1-4	1	0	L
19/09	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
12/09	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
05/09	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-5	3	3	L
28/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-5	0-6	1	1	L
23/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	1-5	0	1	L
15/08	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-5	0-6	4	0	L
08/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-8	0	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Norrkoping (W) vs IK Uppsala (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Norrkoping (W) win (84%). Probabilities: IFK Norrkoping (W) 84%, draw 10%, IK Uppsala (W) 5%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Norrkoping (W) vs IK Uppsala (W)?

The model expects 3.91 goals (IFK Norrkoping (W) 2.95 · IK Uppsala (W) 0.95), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Norrkoping (W) vs IK Uppsala (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.