Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 25/10, 13:00
Prediction: AIK (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)
Team pages: AIK (W) · FC Rosengård (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
AIK (W)1.39
FC Rosengård (W)0.98
1X2
AIK (W)
Draw
FC Rosengård (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AIK (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
FC Rosengård (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AIK (W)
3–3
FC Rosengård (W)
(6 last)
- FC Rosengård (W)1-2AIK (W)
- FC Rosengård (W)1-2AIK (W)
- AIK (W)1-0FC Rosengård (W)
- AIK (W)1-5FC Rosengård (W)
- FC Rosengård (W)3-0AIK (W)
- AIK (W)0-6FC Rosengård (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AIK (W) 1516 · FC Rosengård (W) 1507
| AIK (W) | Draw | FC Rosengård (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AIK (W) | FC Rosengård (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 3 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AIK (W) 3–0–3 FC Rosengård (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan | FC Rosengård (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | AIK (W) |
| 14/09/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | FC Rosengård (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | AIK (W) |
| 07/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | AIK (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Rosengård (W) |
| 31/08/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | AIK (W) | 1-5 HT 0-3 | FC Rosengård (W) |
| 27/04/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | FC Rosengård (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | AIK (W) |
| 19/06/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan | AIK (W) | 0-6 HT 0-2 | FC Rosengård (W) |
Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BK Hacken (W) | 22 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 73 | 13 | 61 |
| 2 | Hammarby (W) | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 51 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Malmo FF (W) | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Kristianstads (W) | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 35 |
| 5 | AIK (W) | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 34 |
| 6 | Vittsjö GIK (W) | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 32 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna (W) | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 32 |
| 8 | Djurgardens (W) | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 27 |
| 9 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 29 | 27 |
| 10 | Pitea IF (W) | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 24 |
| 11 | FC Rosengård (W) | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 26 | 23 |
| 12 | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 37 | 20 |
| 13 | Vaxjo (W) | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 44 | 18 |
| 14 | IK Uppsala (W) | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 78 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AIK (W) | FC Rosengård (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Malmo FF (W) | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Djurgardens (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Vaxjo (W) | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Pitea IF (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Kristianstads (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| BK Hacken (W) | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Vittsjö GIK (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Rosengård (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AIK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
FC Rosengård (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 15/08 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AIK (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AIK (W) win (46%). Probabilities: AIK (W) 46%, draw 27%, FC Rosengård (W) 26%.
How many goals are expected in AIK (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?
The model expects 2.37 goals (AIK (W) 1.39 · FC Rosengård (W) 0.98), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AIK (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.