Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 24/10, 15:00
Prediction: Hammarby (W) vs Djurgardens (W)
Team pages: Hammarby (W) · Djurgardens (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Hammarby (W)2.51
Djurgardens (W)0.82
1X2
Hammarby (W)
Draw
Djurgardens (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Hammarby (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Djurgardens (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hammarby (W)
4–1–1
Djurgardens (W)
(6 last)
- Djurgardens (W)0-2Hammarby (W)
- Djurgardens (W)2-1Hammarby (W)
- Hammarby (W)2-1Djurgardens (W)
- Djurgardens (W)0-2Hammarby (W)
- Hammarby (W)4-1Djurgardens (W)
- Hammarby (W)0-0Djurgardens (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hammarby (W) 1601 · Djurgardens (W) 1539
| Hammarby (W) | Draw | Djurgardens (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 17% | 9% |
| Market | 73% | 17% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby (W) (rating 1601 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Hammarby (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hammarby (W) | Djurgardens (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.7 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 7.9 | 2.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 1.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby (W) 4–1–1 Djurgardens (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Djurgardens (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Hammarby (W) |
| 22/09/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Djurgardens (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Hammarby (W) |
| 16/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Hammarby (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Djurgardens (W) |
| 02/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Djurgardens (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Hammarby (W) |
| 04/05/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Hammarby (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Djurgardens (W) |
| 09/03/24 Sweden Cup Women | Hammarby (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Djurgardens (W) |
Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BK Hacken (W) | 22 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 73 | 13 | 61 |
| 2 | Hammarby (W) | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 51 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Malmo FF (W) | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Kristianstads (W) | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 35 |
| 5 | AIK (W) | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 34 |
| 6 | Vittsjö GIK (W) | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 32 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna (W) | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 32 |
| 8 | Djurgardens (W) | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 27 |
| 9 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 29 | 27 |
| 10 | Pitea IF (W) | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 24 |
| 11 | FC Rosengård (W) | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 26 | 23 |
| 12 | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 37 | 20 |
| 13 | Vaxjo (W) | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 44 | 18 |
| 14 | IK Uppsala (W) | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 78 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hammarby (W) | Djurgardens (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna (W) | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| AIK (W) | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Vaxjo (W) | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| IFK Norrkoping (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Malmo FF (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Pitea IF (W) | 5-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hammarby (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hammarby (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 21/08 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
4-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 31/07 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
3-0 | 5-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
Djurgardens (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 18/09 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 14/08 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
3-0 | 8-0 | 18 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hammarby (W) vs Djurgardens (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hammarby (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Hammarby (W) 73%, draw 17%, Djurgardens (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in Hammarby (W) vs Djurgardens (W)?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Hammarby (W) 2.51 · Djurgardens (W) 0.82), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hammarby (W) vs Djurgardens (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.