Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: FC Rosengård (W) vs Vittsjö GIK (W)

Team pages: FC Rosengård (W) · Vittsjö GIK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

FC Rosengård (W)1.48

Vittsjö GIK (W)1.03

1X2

47% 26% 26%

FC Rosengård (W) Draw Vittsjö GIK (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Rosengård (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDLWWLWL

Vittsjö GIK (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDLWLDWW

Head-to-head

FC Rosengård (W) 2–3–1 Vittsjö GIK (W) (6 last)

Vittsjö GIK (W)1-1FC Rosengård (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)1-1FC Rosengård (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)3-2FC Rosengård (W)
FC Rosengård (W)2-2Vittsjö GIK (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)0-3FC Rosengård (W)
FC Rosengård (W)5-0Vittsjö GIK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Rosengård (W) 1505 · Vittsjö GIK (W) 1555

	FC Rosengård (W)	Draw	Vittsjö GIK (W)
Our model	46%	29%	25%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vittsjö GIK (W) (rating 1505 vs 1555).
H2H favours FC Rosengård (W): 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Rosengård (W)	Vittsjö GIK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.9	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.3	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.86
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.70
2	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.50 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:13 +2’	1.85	3.60	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:03 +13’	1.84	3.71	3.58
14:25 +52’	1.86▲	3.70▼	3.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Rosengård (W) 2–3–1 Vittsjö GIK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/08/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vittsjö GIK (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Rosengård (W)
14/02/26 Sweden Cup Women	Vittsjö GIK (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Rosengård (W)
05/09/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vittsjö GIK (W)	3-2 HT 3-1	FC Rosengård (W)
19/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Vittsjö GIK (W)
05/07/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vittsjö GIK (W)	0-3 HT 0-0	FC Rosengård (W)
14/04/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	5-0 HT 3-0	Vittsjö GIK (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	21	19	1	1	70	13	58
2	Hammarby (W)	21	17	2	2	51	10	53
3	Malmo FF (W)	21	11	6	4	40	14	39
4	AIK (W)	21	10	4	7	30	29	34
5	Kristianstads (W)	21	9	5	7	35	32	32
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	21	9	5	7	29	26	32
7	Brommapojkarna (W)	21	9	2	10	28	36	29
8	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	21	8	3	10	18	27	27
9	Pitea IF (W)	21	6	6	9	24	30	24
10	Djurgardens (W)	21	7	3	11	27	34	24
11	FC Rosengård (W)	21	5	5	11	21	26	20
12	Vaxjo (W)	21	5	3	13	23	42	18
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	21	3	8	10	18	36	17
14	IK Uppsala (W)	21	1	3	17	14	73	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Rosengård (W)	Vittsjö GIK (W)
Malmo FF (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
IK Uppsala (W)	1-0 W	5-0 W
BK Hacken (W)	0-1 L	0-4 L
Kristianstads (W)	1-1 D	3-1 W
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	0-1 L	2-0 W
Vaxjo (W)	0-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vittsjö GIK (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Rosengård (W)

DLLDLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
27/09	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
20/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
12/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	11	0	W
05/09	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
29/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
22/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	0	0	D
15/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	13	1	L
07/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	8	1	L
03/08	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	4	2	D

Vittsjö GIK (W)

WDWDLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
26/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
19/09	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-2	7	2	D
13/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-4	3	2	L
05/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	5-0	5	3	W
29/08	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
23/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	7	0	D
15/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	0	1	W
03/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
27/07	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Rosengård (W) vs Vittsjö GIK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Rosengård (W) win (47%). Probabilities: FC Rosengård (W) 47%, draw 26%, Vittsjö GIK (W) 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Rosengård (W) vs Vittsjö GIK (W)?

The model expects 2.51 goals (FC Rosengård (W) 1.48 · Vittsjö GIK (W) 1.03), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Rosengård (W) vs Vittsjö GIK (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.