Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Brommapojkarna (W) vs Vaxjo (W)

Team pages: Brommapojkarna (W) · Vaxjo (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Brommapojkarna (W)1.81

Vaxjo (W)1.18

1X2

51% 25% 24%

Brommapojkarna (W) Draw Vaxjo (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Brommapojkarna (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWWWWL

Vaxjo (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLDLL

Head-to-head

Brommapojkarna (W) 2–4 Vaxjo (W) (6 last)

Vaxjo (W)2-1Brommapojkarna (W)
Vaxjo (W)2-0Brommapojkarna (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)2-3Vaxjo (W)
Vaxjo (W)2-1Brommapojkarna (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)3-2Vaxjo (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)3-2Vaxjo (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brommapojkarna (W) 1529 · Vaxjo (W) 1458

	Brommapojkarna (W)	Draw	Vaxjo (W)
Our model	51%	25%	24%
Market	51%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brommapojkarna (W) (rating 1529 vs 1458).
H2H favours Vaxjo (W): 4-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brommapojkarna (W)	Vaxjo (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	0.7 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.3 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	1.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.70

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:00 +14’	1.75	3.70	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brommapojkarna (W) 2–0–4 Vaxjo (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/06/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Brommapojkarna (W)
01/11/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Brommapojkarna (W)
07/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	Vaxjo (W)
06/07/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Brommapojkarna (W)
12/05/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	3-2 HT 0-2	Vaxjo (W)
11/11/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	3-2 HT 2-2	Vaxjo (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	21	19	1	1	70	13	58
2	Hammarby (W)	21	17	2	2	51	10	53
3	Malmo FF (W)	21	11	6	4	40	14	39
4	AIK (W)	21	10	4	7	30	29	34
5	Kristianstads (W)	21	9	5	7	35	32	32
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	21	9	5	7	29	26	32
7	Brommapojkarna (W)	21	9	2	10	28	36	29
8	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	21	8	3	10	18	27	27
9	Pitea IF (W)	21	6	6	9	24	30	24
10	Djurgardens (W)	21	7	3	11	27	34	24
11	FC Rosengård (W)	21	5	5	11	21	26	20
12	Vaxjo (W)	21	5	3	13	23	42	18
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	21	3	8	10	18	36	17
14	IK Uppsala (W)	21	1	3	17	14	73	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brommapojkarna (W)	Vaxjo (W)
Hammarby (W)	0-2 L	0-3 L
Malmo FF (W)	3-1 W	0-4 L
Kristianstads (W)	2-0 W	0-2 L
Pitea IF (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Djurgardens (W)	2-2 D	2-3 L
AIK (W)	0-1 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Brommapojkarna (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brommapojkarna (W)

WLLDDWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
27/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	3-1	1	1	W
19/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
12/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
05/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	9	0	W
30/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
22/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
15/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	0	1	L
07/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
01/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	2	W

Vaxjo (W)

LWLWLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	1	1	L
26/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-3	0	3	L
19/09	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	2-2	7	2	D
13/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
05/09	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
29/08	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-4	12	1	L
22/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
14/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	2-3	6	2	L
07/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	1	W
31/07	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-5	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brommapojkarna (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brommapojkarna (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Brommapojkarna (W) 51%, draw 25%, Vaxjo (W) 24%.

How many goals are expected in Brommapojkarna (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Brommapojkarna (W) 1.81 · Vaxjo (W) 1.18), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brommapojkarna (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.