Football · Brazil Serie A · 30/07, 00:30

Prediction: Mirassol vs Remo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Mirassol1.75

Remo0.95

1X2

55% 26% 19%

Mirassol Draw Remo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Mirassol 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Remo 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Mirassol 0–1–1 Remo (2 last)

Remo2-2Mirassol
Remo3-1Mirassol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mirassol 1548 · Remo 1519

	Mirassol	Draw	Remo
Our model	55%	26%	19%
Market	55%	27%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mirassol	Remo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.1	2.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:51 +1’	1.70	3.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mirassol 0–1–1 Remo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/02/26 Brazil Serie A	Remo	2-2 HT 2-0	Mirassol
15/05/22 Brazil Serie C	Remo	3-1 HT 1-0	Mirassol

Standings · Brazil Serie A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Palmeiras	19	13	5	1	33	14	44
2	Flamengo	18	11	4	3	35	16	37
3	Athletico Paranaense	19	10	3	6	26	19	33
4	Fluminense	19	9	5	5	29	24	32
5	Bragantino	19	9	3	7	26	20	30
6	EC Bahia	19	8	6	5	28	24	30
7	Corinthians	19	7	6	6	21	19	27
8	Cruzeiro	19	7	6	6	26	29	27
9	Botafogo	19	7	5	7	33	32	26
10	Coritiba	19	7	5	7	25	27	26
11	Vitoria	19	7	5	7	22	25	26
12	Sao Paulo	19	7	4	8	24	22	25
13	Atletico Mineiro	19	7	4	8	23	24	25
14	Internacional	19	5	6	8	22	24	21
15	Santos	19	5	6	8	27	31	21
16	Gremio	19	5	6	8	21	25	21
17	Vasco da Gama	19	5	5	9	22	30	20
18	Mirassol	18	5	4	9	20	25	19
19	Remo	19	4	6	9	21	32	18
20	Chapecoense	19	1	6	12	17	39	9

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mirassol	Remo
Athletico Paranaense	0-1 L	1-2 L
Chapecoense	1-1 D	3-2 W
Corinthians	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Mirassol

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Gremio Brazil Serie A	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
30/05	Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
27/05	Lanus Copa Libertadores	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
24/05	Fluminense Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
20/05	Always Ready Copa Libertadores	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
16/05	Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
14/05	Bragantino Copa do Brasil	1-1	2-1	2	0	W
10/05	Chapecoense Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
08/05	LDU Quito Copa Libertadores	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
04/05	Corinthians Brazil Serie A	2-0	2-1	1	7	W

Remo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Corinthians Brazil Serie A	0-3	0-3	4	2	L
01/06	Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
24/05	Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
17/05	Chapecoense Brazil Serie A	1-1	3-2	9	3	W
14/05	EC Bahia Copa do Brasil	1-1	2-1	7	6	W
10/05	Palmeiras Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
02/05	Botafogo Brazil Serie A	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
30/04	Galvez AC Brazil Copa Norte	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
25/04	Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
23/04	EC Bahia Copa do Brasil	1-1	3-1	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mirassol vs Remo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mirassol win (55%). Probabilities: Mirassol 55%, draw 26%, Remo 19%.

How many goals are expected in Mirassol vs Remo?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Mirassol 1.75 · Remo 0.95), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mirassol vs Remo?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.