Prediction: Athletico Paranaense vs Internacional
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 30% | 23% |
| Market | 48% | 29% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Athletico Paranaense: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Athletico Paranaense | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/67/22% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.3 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.6 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Athletico Paranaense 4–1–1 Internacional
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/26 Brazil Serie A | Internacional | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Athletico Paranaense |
| 12/08/24 Brazil Serie A | Internacional | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Athletico Paranaense |
| 21/04/24 Brazil Serie A | Athletico Paranaense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Internacional |
| 22/09/23 Brazil Serie A | Athletico Paranaense | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Internacional |
| 11/05/23 Brazil Serie A | Internacional | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Athletico Paranaense |
| 06/11/22 Brazil Serie A | Internacional | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Athletico Paranaense |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 32 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 30 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 30 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 29 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico Mineiro | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 24 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 20 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 19 |
| 19 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Athletico Paranaense | Internacional |
|---|---|---|
| Bragantino | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Mirassol | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Vasco da Gama | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Vitoria | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Athletico Paranaense (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Athletico Paranaense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Bragantino America Friendlies |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/07 | Boca Juniors America Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 18/05 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Atletico GO Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 11/05 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Gremio Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 24/04 | Atletico GO Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
Internacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Bragantino Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Athletic Club MG Copa do Brasil |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Coritiba Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 07/05 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Recopa Gaucha |
0-0 | 2-1 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Athletic Club MG Copa do Brasil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Athletico Paranaense vs Internacional?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Athletico Paranaense win (47%). Probabilities: Athletico Paranaense 47%, draw 30%, Internacional 23%.
How many goals are expected in Athletico Paranaense vs Internacional?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Athletico Paranaense 1.37 · Internacional 0.87), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Athletico Paranaense vs Internacional?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.