Prediction: Cruzeiro vs Botafogo
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Cruzeiro: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cruzeiro | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/0/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.2 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cruzeiro 3–2–1 Botafogo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 Brazil Serie A | Botafogo | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Cruzeiro |
| 04/12/25 Brazil Serie A | Cruzeiro | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Botafogo |
| 03/08/25 Brazil Serie A | Botafogo | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Cruzeiro |
| 28/07/24 Brazil Serie A | Botafogo | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Cruzeiro |
| 14/04/24 Brazil Serie A | Cruzeiro | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Botafogo |
| 03/12/23 Brazil Serie A | Botafogo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cruzeiro |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 32 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 30 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 30 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 29 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico Mineiro | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 24 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 20 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 19 |
| 19 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cruzeiro | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| EC Bahia | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cruzeiro (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cruzeiro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Gremio Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Defensor Sporting America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/06 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Barcelona Guayaquil Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Boca Juniors Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | Goias Copa do Brasil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 07/05 | Universidad Catolica Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
Botafogo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 28/05 | Caracas Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 21/05 | Independiente Petrolero Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/05 | Chapecoense Copa do Brasil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 07/05 | Racing Club Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cruzeiro vs Botafogo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cruzeiro win (53%). Probabilities: Cruzeiro 53%, draw 26%, Botafogo 21%.
How many goals are expected in Cruzeiro vs Botafogo?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Cruzeiro 1.7 · Botafogo 0.98), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cruzeiro vs Botafogo?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.