Football · Brazil Serie A · 23/07, 00:30

Prediction: Coritiba vs Palmeiras

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Coritiba1.21

Palmeiras1.31

1X2

33% 29% 38%

Coritiba Draw Palmeiras

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Coritiba 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLLDLWWL

Palmeiras 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWDWDLWWW

Head-to-head

Coritiba 2–4 Palmeiras (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palmeiras (rating 1490 vs 1560).
H2H favours Palmeiras: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Coritiba	Palmeiras
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.2	3.4 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.6	4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Coritiba 2–0–4 Palmeiras

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/10/23 Brazil Serie A	Coritiba	0-2 HT 0-2	Palmeiras
04/06/23 Brazil Serie A	Palmeiras	3-1 HT 2-0	Coritiba
07/10/22 Brazil Serie A	Palmeiras	4-0 HT 2-0	Coritiba
12/06/22 Brazil Serie A	Coritiba	0-2 HT 0-1	Palmeiras
17/02/21 Brazil Serie A	Coritiba	1-0 HT 0-0	Palmeiras
14/10/20 Brazil Serie A	Palmeiras	1-3 HT 1-2	Coritiba

Standings · Brazil Serie A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Palmeiras	18	12	5	1	30	13	41
2	Flamengo	17	10	4	3	31	16	34
3	Fluminense	18	9	4	5	28	23	31
4	Athletico Paranaense	18	9	3	6	24	18	30
5	Bragantino	18	9	2	7	25	19	29
6	EC Bahia	17	7	5	5	25	23	26
7	Coritiba	18	7	5	6	24	24	26
8	Sao Paulo	18	7	4	7	23	20	25
9	Atletico Mineiro	18	7	3	8	22	23	24
10	Corinthians	18	6	6	6	18	19	24
11	Cruzeiro	18	6	6	6	24	28	24
12	Botafogo	17	6	4	7	31	31	22
13	Vitoria	17	6	4	7	21	25	22
14	Internacional	18	5	6	7	21	22	21
15	Santos	18	5	6	7	26	29	21
16	Gremio	18	5	6	7	20	23	21
17	Vasco da Gama	18	5	5	8	22	29	20
18	Remo	18	4	6	8	21	29	18
19	Mirassol	17	4	4	9	18	24	16
20	Chapecoense	17	1	6	10	17	33	9

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Coritiba	Palmeiras
Flamengo	0-3 L	3-0 W
Santos	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Coritiba

DWDLLDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/05	Flamengo Brazil Serie A	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
26/05	EC Bahia Brazil Serie A	0-1	3-2	3	3	W
17/05	Santos Brazil Serie A	3-0	3-0	3	6	W
14/05	Santos Copa do Brasil	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
09/05	Internacional Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
02/05	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	1-2	1-4	4	5	L
26/04	Gremio Brazil Serie A	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
23/04	Santos Copa do Brasil	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
19/04	Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
12/04	Botafogo Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-2	4	5	D

Palmeiras

DDWDWDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/05	Chapecoense Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
29/05	Junior Copa Libertadores	3-1	4-1	0	3	W
24/05	Flamengo Brazil Serie A	1-0	3-0	4	12	W
21/05	Cerro Porteno Copa Libertadores	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
17/05	Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
14/05	Jacuipense Copa do Brasil	3-0	4-1	8	2	W
10/05	Remo Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-1	17	4	D
06/05	Sporting Cristal Copa Libertadores	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
02/05	Santos Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	9	1	D
30/04	Cerro Porteno Copa Libertadores	1-0	1-1	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coritiba vs Palmeiras?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Palmeiras win (38%). Probabilities: Coritiba 33%, draw 29%, Palmeiras 38%.

How many goals are expected in Coritiba vs Palmeiras?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Coritiba 1.21 · Palmeiras 1.31), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Coritiba vs Palmeiras?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.