Football · Brazil Serie A · 08/08, 23:30

Prediction: Remo vs Atletico Mineiro

Team pages: Remo · Atletico Mineiro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Remo1.12

Atletico Mineiro1.3

1X2

31% 30% 40%

Remo Draw Atletico Mineiro

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Remo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLWLD

Atletico Mineiro 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWWDWD

Head-to-head

Remo 0–1–2 Atletico Mineiro (3 last)

Atletico Mineiro3-3Remo
Atletico Mineiro2-1Remo
Remo0-2Atletico Mineiro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Remo 1515 · Atletico Mineiro 1541

	Remo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
Our model	31%	30%	39%
Market	31%	29%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Atletico Mineiro: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Remo	Atletico Mineiro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.8	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.20

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.05
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.29 ★
2	2.45 → 2.35▼	Pinn 2.41

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 4.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:29 +4’	2.80	3.20	2.45
05:40 +6’	3.00▲	3.20	2.35▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:33	3.05	3.29	2.41

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Remo 0–1–2 Atletico Mineiro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/02/26 Brazil Serie A	Atletico Mineiro	3-3 HT 1-1	Remo
11/06/21 Copa do Brasil	Atletico Mineiro	2-1 HT 1-1	Remo
03/06/21 Copa do Brasil	Remo	0-2 HT 0-2	Atletico Mineiro

Standings · Brazil Serie A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Palmeiras	21	14	5	2	38	16	47
2	Flamengo	20	11	6	3	37	18	39
3	Athletico Paranaense	21	11	4	6	28	19	37
4	Fluminense	21	9	7	5	30	25	34
5	EC Bahia	21	8	8	5	29	25	32
6	Bragantino	20	9	4	7	26	20	31
7	Cruzeiro	21	8	6	7	27	30	30
8	Botafogo	20	8	5	7	34	32	29
9	Corinthians	21	7	8	6	22	20	29
10	Atletico Mineiro	20	8	4	8	25	25	28
11	Coritiba	21	7	6	8	25	28	27
12	Sao Paulo	20	7	5	8	25	23	26
13	Vitoria	21	7	5	9	22	31	26
14	Mirassol	20	6	5	9	23	27	23
15	Santos	20	5	7	8	29	33	22
16	Internacional	21	5	7	9	23	27	22
17	Gremio	20	5	7	8	22	26	22
18	Vasco da Gama	20	5	6	9	23	31	21
19	Remo	21	5	6	10	24	34	21
20	Chapecoense	20	1	7	12	19	41	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Remo	Atletico Mineiro
Mirassol	1-2 L	3-1 W
Corinthians	0-3 L	0-1 L
EC Bahia	2-1 W	1-1 D
Palmeiras	1-1 D	2-1 W
Botafogo	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Mineiro (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Remo

WDWWLWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Santos Copa do Brasil	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
30/07	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
27/07	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
24/07	Corinthians Brazil Serie A	0-3	0-3	4	2	L
01/06	Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
24/05	Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
17/05	Chapecoense Brazil Serie A	1-1	3-2	9	3	W
14/05	EC Bahia Copa do Brasil	1-1	2-1	7	6	W
10/05	Palmeiras Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
02/05	Botafogo Brazil Serie A	0-1	2-1	6	4	W

Atletico Mineiro

DLWWLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	EC Juventude Copa do Brasil	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
27/07	Palmeiras Brazil Serie A	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
22/07	EC Bahia Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
31/05	Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
28/05	Academia Puerto Cabello Copa Sudamericana	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
24/05	Corinthians Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
22/05	Cienciano Copa Sudamericana	2-0	2-0	8	6	W
16/05	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	1-1	3-1	5	1	W
14/05	Ceara Copa do Brasil	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
10/05	Botafogo Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-1	6	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Remo vs Atletico Mineiro?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Mineiro win (40%). Probabilities: Remo 31%, draw 30%, Atletico Mineiro 40%.

How many goals are expected in Remo vs Atletico Mineiro?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Remo 1.12 · Atletico Mineiro 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Remo vs Atletico Mineiro?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.