Football · USA MLS · 15/10, 03:30

Prediction: Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United

Team pages: Colorado Rapids · Minnesota United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Colorado Rapids1.8

Minnesota United1.35

1X2

47% 26% 28%

Colorado Rapids Draw Minnesota United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Colorado Rapids 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLDWDL

Minnesota United 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DDLWDLLLLL

Head-to-head

Colorado Rapids 2–2–2 Minnesota United (6 last)

Minnesota United0-1Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids1-1Minnesota United
Minnesota United1-2Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United3-0Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids3-3Minnesota United
Minnesota United3-0Colorado Rapids

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colorado Rapids 1506 · Minnesota United 1430

	Colorado Rapids	Draw	Minnesota United
Our model	47%	25%	28%
Market	47%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colorado Rapids (rating 1506 vs 1430).
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colorado Rapids	Minnesota United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	2.1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.9 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.5	2.5 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
04:35 +4’	2.00	3.60	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Rapids 2–2–2 Minnesota United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 USA MLS	Minnesota United	0-1 HT 0-1	Colorado Rapids
28/09/25 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	1-1 HT 1-0	Minnesota United
11/08/25 USA MLS	Minnesota United	1-2 HT 0-0	Colorado Rapids
29/09/24 USA MLS	Minnesota United	3-0 HT 1-0	Colorado Rapids
26/05/24 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	3-3 HT 1-3	Minnesota United
31/08/23 USA MLS	Minnesota United	3-0 HT 3-0	Colorado Rapids

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	27	15	5	7	60	29	50
2	St. Louis City SC	27	13	8	6	48	36	47
3	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	50	42	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	49	39	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	34	32	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	43	30	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	10	8	9	35	35	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	38	38	36
9	LA Galaxy	28	9	9	10	37	44	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	48	51	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	40	44	32
12	San Diego FC	27	8	8	11	47	47	32
13	Austin FC	27	7	10	10	35	47	31
14	Minnesota United	27	7	8	12	40	49	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	6	3	18	32	65	21

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colorado Rapids	Minnesota United
LA Galaxy	2-3 L	2-3 L
Seattle Sounders	3-3 D	1-3 L
Real Salt Lake	1-0 W	1-1 D
San Diego FC	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Colorado Rapids (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colorado Rapids

WWWLWLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	2-0	2-3	6	4	L
20/09	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-0	3-3	4	1	D
13/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/09	Austin FC USA MLS	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
06/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
30/08	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
23/08	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
20/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
16/08	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	0-0	2-0	8	6	W
02/08	Austin FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	11	5	W

Minnesota United

DDLWDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	0-2	1-3	7	4	L
20/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	2-1	2-3	5	2	L
13/09	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	1-3	2-4	5	3	L
10/09	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
06/09	Portland Timbers USA MLS	2-3	4-5	3	4	L
30/08	Orlando City SC USA MLS	0-1	3-3	8	4	D
23/08	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	3-1	5-1	3	1	W
20/08	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
16/08	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
02/08	San Diego FC USA MLS	1-0	1-1	8	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colorado Rapids win (47%). Probabilities: Colorado Rapids 47%, draw 26%, Minnesota United 28%.

How many goals are expected in Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Colorado Rapids 1.8 · Minnesota United 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.