Prediction: Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| Market | 66% | 20% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Seattle Sounders (rating 1519 vs 1470).
- H2H favours Seattle Sounders: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Seattle Sounders | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Seattle Sounders 2–3–1 Portland Timbers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/25 USA MLS | Seattle Sounders | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Portland Timbers |
| 18/05/25 USA MLS | Portland Timbers | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Seattle Sounders |
| 20/10/24 USA MLS | Seattle Sounders | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Portland Timbers |
| 01/09/24 USA MLS | Portland Timbers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Seattle Sounders |
| 12/05/24 USA MLS | Portland Timbers | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Seattle Sounders |
| 03/09/23 USA MLS | Seattle Sounders | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Portland Timbers |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 22 | 25 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 24 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 22 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 22 |
| 9 | LA Galaxy | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 20 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 17 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 16 |
| 12 | St. Louis City SC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 16 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 28 | 14 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 14 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 11 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Seattle Sounders | Portland Timbers |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| LA Galaxy | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| San Diego FC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Sporting Kansas City | 1-1 D | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Portland Timbers (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Seattle Sounders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 16/04 | Tigres UANL CONCACAF Champions Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/04 | Tigres UANL CONCACAF Champions Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 05/04 | Houston Dynamo USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Portland Timbers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Inter Miami CF USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
4-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Real Salt Lake USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Minnesota United USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Seattle Sounders win (65%). Probabilities: Seattle Sounders 65%, draw 20%, Portland Timbers 15%.
How many goals are expected in Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Seattle Sounders 2.17 · Portland Timbers 0.93), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.