Prediction: San Jose Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | LA Galaxy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours LA Galaxy: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Jose Earthquakes | LA Galaxy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 7.8 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Jose Earthquakes 1–1–4 LA Galaxy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/25 USA MLS | San Jose Earthquakes | 1-1 HT 1-0 | LA Galaxy |
| 29/05/25 USA MLS | LA Galaxy | 0-1 HT 0-0 | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 01/08/24 Leagues Cup | San Jose Earthquakes | 1-2 HT 0-1 | LA Galaxy |
| 30/06/24 USA MLS | San Jose Earthquakes | 0-3 HT 0-1 | LA Galaxy |
| 22/04/24 USA MLS | LA Galaxy | 4-3 HT 3-1 | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 03/03/24 USA MLS | San Jose Earthquakes | 1-3 HT 0-2 | LA Galaxy |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 22 | 25 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 22 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 22 |
| 9 | LA Galaxy | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 20 |
| 10 | St. Louis City SC | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 19 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 17 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 17 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 14 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 11 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Jose Earthquakes | LA Galaxy |
|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Seattle Sounders | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: LA Galaxy (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Jose Earthquakes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Tijuana Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
3-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Colorado Rapids USA US Open Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 14/05 | Seattle Sounders USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Minnesota United USA US Open Cup |
1-0 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/04 | Austin FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 5-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
LA Galaxy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Club America America Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Houston Dynamo USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Seattle Sounders USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 27/04 | Real Salt Lake USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 23/04 | Columbus Crew USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Jose Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Jose Earthquakes win (56%). Probabilities: San Jose Earthquakes 56%, draw 23%, LA Galaxy 22%.
How many goals are expected in San Jose Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy?
The model expects 3.45 goals (San Jose Earthquakes 2.15 · LA Galaxy 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.