Prediction: Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 79% | 13% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Los Angeles FC (rating 1518 vs 1415).
- H2H favours Los Angeles FC: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Los Angeles FC | Sporting Kansas City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 1 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 5.1 | 1.5 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Angeles FC 4–2–0 Sporting Kansas City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/25 USA MLS | Los Angeles FC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Sporting Kansas City |
| 23/03/25 USA MLS | Sporting Kansas City | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Los Angeles FC |
| 06/10/24 USA MLS | Sporting Kansas City | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Los Angeles FC |
| 26/09/24 USA US Open Cup | Los Angeles FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sporting Kansas City |
| 10/03/24 USA MLS | Los Angeles FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sporting Kansas City |
| 18/06/23 USA MLS | Sporting Kansas City | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Los Angeles FC |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 22 | 25 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 22 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 22 |
| 9 | LA Galaxy | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 20 |
| 10 | St. Louis City SC | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 19 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 17 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 17 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 14 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 11 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Los Angeles FC | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| LA Galaxy | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Seattle Sounders | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| St. Louis City SC | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Los Angeles FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Los Angeles FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Seattle Sounders USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/05 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Houston Dynamo USA MLS |
1-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | Toluca CONCACAF Champions Cup |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/04 | Toluca CONCACAF Champions Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Minnesota United USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
Sporting Kansas City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Austin FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 14/05 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
0-4 | 0-6 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Seattle Sounders USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/04 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA US Open Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Los Angeles FC win (78%). Probabilities: Los Angeles FC 78%, draw 14%, Sporting Kansas City 8%.
How many goals are expected in Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model expects 3.93 goals (Los Angeles FC 2.96 · Sporting Kansas City 0.96), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.