Prediction: Nashville SC vs Atlanta United
| Nashville SC | Draw | Atlanta United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 21% | 10% |
| Market | 70% | 20% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nashville SC (rating 1543 vs 1490).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nashville SC | Atlanta United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nashville SC 2–2–2 Atlanta United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 USA MLS | Atlanta United | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Nashville SC |
| 31/08/25 USA MLS | Nashville SC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Atlanta United |
| 03/05/25 USA MLS | Atlanta United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Nashville SC |
| 15/09/24 USA MLS | Atlanta United | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nashville SC |
| 18/05/24 USA MLS | Nashville SC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Atlanta United |
| 27/08/23 USA MLS | Atlanta United | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Nashville SC |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | Inter Miami CF | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 28 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 32 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 37 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 19 |
| 9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 23 | 16 |
| 11 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 14 |
| 12 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 44 | 14 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 29 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 7 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nashville SC | Atlanta United |
|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Charlotte FC | 4-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Nashville SC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nashville SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | New York City FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | New England Revolution USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | DC United USA MLS |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Tigres UANL CONCACAF Champions Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Tigres UANL CONCACAF Champions Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Charlotte FC USA MLS |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/04 | Club America CONCACAF Champions Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Atlanta United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Columbus Crew USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Orlando City SC USA US Open Cup |
0-4 | 1-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 29/04 | Charlotte FC USA US Open Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/04 | New England Revolution USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/04 | Chattanooga FC USA US Open Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nashville SC vs Atlanta United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nashville SC win (69%). Probabilities: Nashville SC 69%, draw 20%, Atlanta United 11%.
How many goals are expected in Nashville SC vs Atlanta United?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Nashville SC 2.06 · Atlanta United 0.67), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Nashville SC vs Atlanta United?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.