Football · USA MLS · 23/07, 02:30

Prediction: Nashville SC vs CF Montreal

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Nashville SC2.14
CF Montreal0.87
1X2
66% 21% 13%
Nashville SC Draw CF Montreal
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Nashville SC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
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CF Montreal 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWWDLDWW
Head-to-head
Nashville SC 3–2–1 CF Montreal (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nashville SC 1548 · CF Montreal 1530
Nashville SCDrawCF Montreal
Our model66%21%13%
Market66%21%13%
Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Nashville SC: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nashville SCCF Montreal
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.92.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.41.7 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.15 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nashville SC 321 CF Montreal

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/10/25
USA MLS
CF Montreal1-1
HT 1-0
Nashville SC
23/03/25
USA MLS
Nashville SC3-0
HT 0-0
CF Montreal
26/05/24
USA MLS
CF Montreal0-0
HT 0-0
Nashville SC
05/05/24
USA MLS
Nashville SC4-1
HT 2-0
CF Montreal
22/06/23
USA MLS
CF Montreal1-0
HT 1-0
Nashville SC
12/03/23
USA MLS
Nashville SC2-0
HT 1-0
CF Montreal

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Nashville SC 141031 311133
2 Inter Miami CF 15942 392831
3 Chicago Fire 14824 271626
4 New England Revolution 14815 221825
5 New York Red Bulls 15645 253222
6 Charlotte FC 15636 242321
7 FC Cincinnati 15555 363720
8 New York City FC 15546 252119
9 DC United 15465 212518
10 Columbus Crew 15447 212316
11 CF Montreal 14428 223114
12 Orlando City SC 15429 234414
13 Toronto FC 14356 222914
14 Atlanta United 14329 142311
15 Philadelphia Union 151410 18307

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNashville SCCF Montreal
New York City FC 2-1 W 1-0 W
DC United 2-2 D 4-4 D
Atlanta United 2-0 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nashville SC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nashville SC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/05 New York City FC
USA MLS
1-1 2-1 63 W
18/05 Los Angeles FC
USA MLS
2-1 3-2 35 W
14/05 New England Revolution
USA MLS
2-0 3-0 75 W
10/05 DC United
USA MLS
0-2 2-2 85 D
06/05 Tigres UANL
CONCACAF Champions Cup
0-0 0-1 53 L
03/05 Philadelphia Union
USA MLS
0-0 0-0 22 D
29/04 Tigres UANL
CONCACAF Champions Cup
0-1 0-1 74 L
26/04 Charlotte FC
USA MLS
2-1 4-2 63 W
19/04 Atlanta United
USA MLS
0-0 2-0 72 W
15/04 Club America
CONCACAF Champions Cup
0-0 1-0 32 W

CF Montreal

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/07 Vancouver FC
Canada Championships
0-0 2-1 46 W
09/07 Vancouver FC
Canada Championships
0-0 2-1 23 W
24/05 DC United
USA MLS
1-2 4-4 47 D
16/05 Chicago Fire
USA MLS
0-1 0-2 167 L
14/05 Portland Timbers
USA MLS
2-1 2-2 63 D
09/05 Orlando City SC
USA MLS
0-0 2-0 113 W
07/05 Calgary Blizzard SC
Canada Championships
2-0 5-0 112 W
03/05 Atlanta United
USA MLS
1-2 1-3 27 L
25/04 New York City FC
USA MLS
1-0 1-0 39 W
18/04 New York Red Bulls
USA MLS
2-0 4-1 36 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nashville SC win (66%). Probabilities: Nashville SC 66%, draw 21%, CF Montreal 13%.

How many goals are expected in Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?

The model expects 3 goals (Nashville SC 2.14 · CF Montreal 0.87), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.