Football · USA MLS · 23/07, 04:30

Prediction: Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.66Total
Los Angeles FC2.27
Real Salt Lake1.4
1X2
56% 22% 22%
Los Angeles FC Draw Real Salt Lake
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Los Angeles FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDWWDLLLLW
Real Salt Lake 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWLLWLWWDW
Head-to-head
Los Angeles FC 3–1–2 Real Salt Lake (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Los Angeles FC 1483 · Real Salt Lake 1511
Los Angeles FCDrawReal Salt Lake
Our model56%21%22%
Market56%23%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Los Angeles FC: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Los Angeles FCReal Salt Lake
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 22.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.61.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 5.31.7 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.13.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Angeles FC 312 Real Salt Lake

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/09/25
USA MLS
Los Angeles FC4-1
HT 2-1
Real Salt Lake
18/09/25
USA MLS
Real Salt Lake1-4
HT 0-2
Los Angeles FC
18/07/24
USA MLS
Los Angeles FC1-1
HT 1-1
Real Salt Lake
02/03/24
USA MLS
Real Salt Lake3-0
HT 3-0
Los Angeles FC
02/10/23
USA MLS
Los Angeles FC0-1
HT 0-0
Real Salt Lake
09/08/23
Leagues Cup
Los Angeles FC4-0
HT 0-0
Real Salt Lake

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 141022 341232
2 San Jose Earthquakes 151023 341532
3 Real Salt Lake 14824 261926
4 FC Dallas 15744 302225
5 Los Angeles FC 15735 241724
6 Seattle Sounders 13733 171124
7 Houston Dynamo 14716 192322
8 Minnesota United 15645 182222
9 LA Galaxy 15555 222220
10 San Diego FC 15456 302717
11 Colorado Rapids 15519 252416
12 St. Louis City SC 14446 162016
13 Portland Timbers 14428 222814
14 Austin FC 15357 193114
15 Sporting Kansas City 14329 143611

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLos Angeles FCReal Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo 1-4 L 3-0 W
San Diego FC 2-2 D 4-2 W
Minnesota United 1-0 W 1-1 D
Colorado Rapids 0-0 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Real Salt Lake (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Los Angeles FC

LDWWDLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/05 Seattle Sounders
USA MLS
0-0 1-0 70 W
18/05 Nashville SC
USA MLS
1-2 2-3 115 L
14/05 St. Louis City SC
USA MLS
0-1 1-2 86 L
11/05 Houston Dynamo
USA MLS
1-2 1-4 107 L
07/05 Toluca
CONCACAF Champions Cup
0-0 0-4 23 L
03/05 San Diego FC
USA MLS
0-1 2-2 35 D
30/04 Toluca
CONCACAF Champions Cup
0-0 2-1 14 W
25/04 Minnesota United
USA MLS
1-0 1-0 24 W
23/04 Colorado Rapids
USA MLS
0-0 0-0 46 D
20/04 San Jose Earthquakes
USA MLS
0-0 1-4 56 L

Real Salt Lake

WWLLWLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/07 Burnley
World Club Friendlies
1-0 4-1 44 W
24/05 Minnesota United
USA MLS
1-0 1-1 32 D
17/05 Colorado Rapids
USA MLS
1-1 2-1 25 W
14/05 Houston Dynamo
USA MLS
0-0 3-0 41 W
10/05 FC Dallas
USA MLS
0-2 1-3 64 L
02/05 Portland Timbers
USA MLS
2-0 2-0 63 W
27/04 LA Galaxy
USA MLS
1-1 1-2 08 L
23/04 Inter Miami CF
USA MLS
0-0 0-2 26 L
19/04 San Diego FC
USA MLS
4-1 4-2 12 W
04/04 Sporting Kansas City
USA MLS
1-0 3-1 71 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Los Angeles FC win (56%). Probabilities: Los Angeles FC 56%, draw 22%, Real Salt Lake 22%.

How many goals are expected in Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Los Angeles FC 2.27 · Real Salt Lake 1.4), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.