Football · USA MLS · 02/08, 03:30

Prediction: Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Colorado Rapids1.88

Austin FC1.09

1X2

55% 25% 21%

Colorado Rapids Draw Austin FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Colorado Rapids 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Austin FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Colorado Rapids 3–1–2 Austin FC (6 last)

Colorado Rapids0-2Austin FC
Austin FC0-1Colorado Rapids
Austin FC3-2Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids2-0Austin FC
Colorado Rapids1-0Austin FC
Austin FC1-1Colorado Rapids

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colorado Rapids 1460 · Austin FC 1469

	Colorado Rapids	Draw	Austin FC
Our model	55%	25%	21%
Market	55%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Colorado Rapids: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colorado Rapids	Austin FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.6	2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 0.4	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.80

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Pinn 1.74
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.16 ★
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4% Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:18 +2’	1.70	3.80	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:20	1.74	4.16	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Rapids 3–1–2 Austin FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/06/25 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	0-2 HT 0-1	Austin FC
09/03/25 USA MLS	Austin FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Colorado Rapids
20/10/24 USA MLS	Austin FC	3-2 HT 1-1	Colorado Rapids
16/06/24 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	2-0 HT 1-0	Austin FC
01/10/23 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	1-0 HT 1-0	Austin FC
26/03/23 USA MLS	Austin FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Colorado Rapids

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	16	10	3	3	37	16	33
2	Los Angeles FC	18	10	3	5	34	18	33
3	San Jose Earthquakes	17	10	3	4	35	20	33
4	Real Salt Lake	16	8	2	6	28	24	26
5	Houston Dynamo	16	8	2	6	23	24	26
6	FC Dallas	17	7	5	5	32	25	26
7	St. Louis City SC	17	7	4	6	23	23	25
8	Seattle Sounders	16	7	3	6	19	20	24
9	Minnesota United	17	6	5	6	19	24	23
10	Portland Timbers	17	6	3	8	31	32	21
11	LA Galaxy	18	5	6	7	24	29	21
12	San Diego FC	17	5	5	7	31	28	20
13	Colorado Rapids	17	6	1	10	26	25	19
14	Austin FC	17	4	5	8	22	35	17
15	Sporting Kansas City	17	4	2	11	18	44	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colorado Rapids	Austin FC
St. Louis City SC	0-1 L	0-3 L
San Diego FC	1-0 W	0-5 L
San Jose Earthquakes	2-0 W	1-5 L
Minnesota United	1-0 W	2-2 D
Houston Dynamo	0-1 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Colorado Rapids (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Colorado Rapids

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
23/07	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
10/07	Juarez FC Club Friendly List	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	FC Dallas USA MLS	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
21/05	San Jose Earthquakes USA US Open Cup	2-0	2-0	5	5	W
17/05	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
14/05	Minnesota United USA MLS	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
10/05	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-1	0-1	11	10	L
03/05	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
30/04	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA US Open Cup	1-1	1-1	7	9	D

Austin FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-3	0-3	6	4	L
23/07	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
23/05	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
17/05	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	1-0	1-2	3	7	L
14/05	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-2	0-5	3	1	L
11/05	Minnesota United USA MLS	1-0	2-2	4	7	D
03/05	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-0	2-0	4	6	W
26/04	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
23/04	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	1-0	1-5	1	3	L
18/04	Toronto FC USA MLS	1-0	3-3	5	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colorado Rapids win (55%). Probabilities: Colorado Rapids 55%, draw 25%, Austin FC 21%.

How many goals are expected in Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Colorado Rapids 1.88 · Austin FC 1.09), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.