Prediction: Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
| Portland Timbers | Draw | FC Dallas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Dallas (rating 1460 vs 1547).
- H2H favours FC Dallas: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Portland Timbers | FC Dallas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 1.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Timbers 1–3–2 FC Dallas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/25 USA MLS | Portland Timbers | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FC Dallas |
| 10/08/25 USA MLS | FC Dallas | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Portland Timbers |
| 07/10/24 USA MLS | Portland Timbers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Dallas |
| 05/07/24 USA MLS | FC Dallas | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Portland Timbers |
| 12/06/23 USA MLS | Portland Timbers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Dallas |
| 02/04/23 USA MLS | FC Dallas | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Portland Timbers |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 22 | 25 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 24 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 22 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 22 |
| 9 | LA Galaxy | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 20 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 17 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 16 |
| 12 | St. Louis City SC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 16 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 28 | 14 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 14 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 11 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Portland Timbers | FC Dallas |
|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Real Salt Lake | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Minnesota United | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| LA Galaxy | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Dallas (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Portland Timbers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Inter Miami CF USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
4-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Real Salt Lake USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Minnesota United USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
FC Dallas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Real Salt Lake USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Seattle Sounders USA MLS |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 23/04 | Minnesota United USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | DC United USA MLS |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Portland Timbers win (41%). Probabilities: Portland Timbers 41%, draw 25%, FC Dallas 34%.
How many goals are expected in Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Portland Timbers 1.66 · FC Dallas 1.49), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.